One of the most useful patterns for traders is my seven move Chaos Clamshell, discussed at http://moneytide.com/hans/institute.asp 

This pattern, and it's refinement, the Fractal Of Pi, have helped many traders anticipate where the market may be going next. Mostly, traders use this for shorter term trades, lasting a few days, weeks, or months. But it can be used for longer terms. 

This chart of the SPY covers the period from 1993 to present. It has been clear that this year, 2018, the market has struggled to go higher. This has been very clear since the Fireball Top I identified in early October. That top does look like the end of move 5 on this long term Chaos Clamshell. 

Forecasting the move 6 down can be done by looking at the two Bear Markets of move 2 and move 4. If this Bear Market is like 4, it could end about April of 2020. If it is more drawn out, it could last into April 2021. Prices could bottom between 200 and 220 on SPY
 

--

This content was published on Dr. Al Larson's Chaos Clinic which you can attend each Friday for free.
Dr. Al Larson has developed a complete Chaos Model of Markets, four unique courses that let you become a Certified Chaos Trader, some very unique eMylar fractal pattern overlays, and tools that permit forecasting individual stocks and markets years in advance. You can also sign up for a free weekly email, and attend a free Chaos Clinic on Fridays. To learn more, click on the author's profile.
Be sure to sign up for the free weekly email! 

Information on this page contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these securities. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to gains near 1.0700, eyes on key US data

EUR/USD clings to gains near 1.0700, eyes on key US data

EUR/USD clings to gains near the 1.0700 level in early Europe on Thursday. Renewed US Dollar weakness offsets the risk-off market environment, supporting the pair ahead of the key US GDP and PCE inflation data. 

EUR/USD News

USD/JPY finds its highest bids since 1990, near 155.50

USD/JPY finds its highest bids since 1990, near 155.50

USD/JPY keeps breaking into its highest chart territory since June of 1990 early Thursday, testing 155.50 for the first time in 34 years as the Japanese Yen remains vulnerable, despite looming Japanese intervention risks. Focus shifts to Thursday's US GDP report and the BoJ decision on Friday. 

USD/JPY News

Gold price lacks firm intraday direction, holds steady above $2,300 ahead of US data

Gold price lacks firm intraday direction, holds steady above $2,300 ahead of US data

Gold price remains confined in a narrow band for the second straight day on Thursday. Reduced Fed rate cut bets and a positive risk tone cap the upside for the commodity. Traders now await key US macro data before positioning for the near-term trajectory.

Gold News

Injective price weakness persists despite over 5.9 million INJ tokens burned

Injective price weakness persists despite over 5.9 million INJ tokens burned

Injective price is trading with a bearish bias, stuck in the lower section of the market range. The bearish outlook abounds despite the network's deflationary efforts to pump the price. Coupled with broader market gloom, INJ token’s doomed days may not be over yet.

Read more

Meta Platforms Earnings: META sinks 10% on lower Q2 revenue guidance Premium

Meta Platforms Earnings: META sinks 10% on lower Q2 revenue guidance

This must be "opposites" week. While Doppelganger Tesla rode horrible misses on Tuesday to a double-digit rally, Meta Platforms produced impressive beats above Wall Street consensus after the close on Wednesday, only to watch the share price collapse by nearly 10%.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures