|

Kiwi Soars on Appointment of New RBNZ Chief

Market Drivers December 11, 2017
Kiwi soars on new RBNZ lead
Dollar fades post NFP
Nikkei 0.56% Dax 0.09%
Oil $57/bbl
Gold $1250/oz.
Bitcoin $16800

Europe and Asia:
No Data

North America:
No Data

It's been a relatively quiet open to the week of trade in FX with no economic data or newsflow to kick off trade for the majors and most pairs remained in tight ranges with the dollar giving back some of the gains earned in post NFP trade last Friday.

This week is known as central bank week with Fed, ECB, BoE, and SNB all scheduled to meet for policy announcements as the week progresses. The markets do not anticipate any major surprises in rate decisions but will be watching carefully for any upgrades in economic assessment for 2018 which would be the first step for tighter monetary conditions in G-7 universe.

In the meantime, while the majors lay flat, the kiwi was the star of the show rising more than 1% in Asian and early European trade on the announcement that Adrian Orr, 54, will begin a five-year term as governor of the Reserve Bank on March 27. A former deputy governor and chief economist at the RBNZ, Orr currently runs the New Zealand government's sovereign wealth fund which has returned 16.2 percent per annum over the last five years.

Mr, Ott is considered to be an old pro and investors were heartened to see that he will be taking the helm at a time when RBNZ faces its biggest transition in decades as it moves to a Fed-like dual mandate that will focus on both job creation and inflation. While Mr. Ott is neither a dove or a hawk, investors were reassured that he will keep the monetary policy on an even path restraining the worst impulses of a stimulatory monetary policy. The pair popped through the .6900 figure on the news today and could trade all the way towards key resistance at .7000 as the week progresses and more investors become reassured on New Zealand's monetary policy.

Author

Boris Schlossberg

Boris Schlossberg

BKTraders and Prop Traders Edge

Boris Schlossberg was key speaker at the FXstreet.com International Traders Conferences 2010. Mr. Boris Schlossberg is a leading foreign exchange expert with more than 20 years of financial market experience.

More from Boris Schlossberg
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD breaks below 1.1800, two-week lows

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, breaching below the key 1.1800 yardstick to hit new two-week troughs on Wednesday. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and ahead of the publication of the FOMC Minutes.

GBP/USD reaches multi-day lows near 1.3500

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, approaching the 1.3500 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold battle to regain $5,000 continues

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and challenging two-day highs near the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.