|

Jerome Powell falters US inflation disaster

Fed still talks of this as transitory, and in any case we can control it so it doesn't become entrenched?

What is not entrenched about the chart below?

We discussed a few days ago how the data is clearly showing the US is already in a wages/inflation self-generating spiral.

The absolute numbers, seriously, 7.0%, could not be more catastrophic.

CONCLUSION:

Jerome Powell is not up to the job.

Here is an idea; let's all just look the other way?

No. Not happening.

The market cannot ignore this.

The market will crash.

SP500 Index 4 hourly chart

The price action is showing stall, rather than a further relief rally that could have been expected. This price action is sending a silent warning message.

US Budget Deficit

Moving gradually back toward more normal territory and volatility.

US Mortgage Applications.

Again, the bounces are very modest indeed against the sharp drops in this see-saw series. The heat continues to rapidly come out of the housing market.

EUR/USD

The US inflation relief rally was definitely seen on the currency front. How this is driven is that all the US dollar longs waiting for an easy profit on the inflation result, or perhaps an even bigger number found themselves all needing to exit at the same time.

This Euro rally could stall out here in much the same way as I am looking for in US stocks.

Gold 4 hourly chart.

Our favourite investment continues to build very nicely indeed.

Have the best of days,

Author

Clifford Bennett

Clifford Bennett

Independent Analyst

With over 35 years of economic and market trading experience, Clifford Bennett (aka Big Call Bennett) is an internationally renowned predictor of the global financial markets, earning titles such as the “World’s most a

More from Clifford Bennett
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades around 1.1700 after rebounding from 50-day EMA

EUR/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.1700 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a potential for a bearish bias; the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 47 confirms waning momentum.

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3500; looks to US macro data for fresh impetus

The GBP/USD pair oscillates in a narrow range, around the 1.3500 psychological mark during the Asian session on Wednesday, and for now, seems to have stalled the previous day's retracement slide from its highest level since September 18. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop seems tilted in favor of bullish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the upside.

Gold sees profit-taking decline after facing rejection at $4,500

Gold price sees a decline on profit-taking after facing rejection at $4,500 in the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Despite the pullback, the traditional safe haven remains underpinned by geopolitical tensions and expectations of Fed rate cuts. The US ADP Jobs data, JOLTS Job Openings Survey and ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index report will be published on Wednesday. 

Pump.fun prepares for early-year rally as DEX volume skyrockets

Pump.fun (PUMP) is rising alongside crypto majors such as Bitcoin (BTC) and is trading above $0.002400 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The Decentralized Exchange (DEX) native token outlook builds on a bullish tone developed since December 30.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Cardano holds steady as bulls intensify push for breakout

Cardano rises above the 50-day EMA resistance amid a risk-on mood across the crypto market. The MACD upholds positive divergence, increasing the potential for a 20% breakout to $0.505.