|

Is it time to top-sell oil and commodities? [Video]

Joint decision from the US and the UK to ban Russian oil sent another shockwave to commodity prices yesterday.

The European natural gas prices spiked to all-time highs and crude oil rallied to $130 mark.

Stock markets are highly volatile as uncertainties loom. The European indices rally again this morning, BUT the rallies are mostly driven by intra-day trades, whereas longer-term investors are leaving the market; hedge funds and the like are reportedly cutting exposure and covering shorts as visibility became very limited.

The VIX index rises steadily, as the selloff in the stocks continue. The S&P500 started the day in the positive and ended 0.72% down, while Nasdaq lost some 0.30%.

What really boosts the optimism in the European markets is partly the news that the EU countries will be issuing a massive joint bond to finance energy and defense… so the European Central Bank (ECB) could potentially buy it!

Joke aside, the extra massive cash would add to the inflationary pressures in Europe and should, in theory, force the ECB to become more aggressive on its monetary policy despite the Ukrainian threat to the economic recovery.

The ECB hawks are therefore in charge of the market and the EURUSD is trading past the 1.09 mark since yesterday.

The US dollar index consolidates a touch below the 99 mark, gold spiked to $2070 an ounce & Bitcoin rallied after US Treasury Secretary Yellen accidentally published remarks revealing Biden's impending crypto order.

Author

Ipek Ozkardeskaya

Ipek Ozkardeskaya began her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked in HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high-net-worth clients.

More from Ipek Ozkardeskaya
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains offered below 1.3600

GBP/USD resumes its decline, reversing Tuesday’s bullish attempt and breaking below 1.3600 the figure on Wednesday. Cable’s marked pullback follows a firm advance in the Greenback as investors continue to assess latest US data as well as the geopolitical landscape.

EUR/USD remains on the back foot around 1.1650

EUR/USD comes under renewed selling interest, slipping back to the mid-1.1600s ahead of the opening bell in Asia. Spot loses momentum on the back of solid gains in the US Dollar in a context of unabated geopolitical tensions and steady caution ahead of key US data releases and Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday. Looking ahead, the ECB will publish its Accounts on Thursday.

Gold recovers from weekly low; trades above $4,600 on softer USD

Gold attracts some dip-buyers and regains $4,600 in the Asian session on Thursday, recovering part of the previous day's losses to the weekly low as the US dollar lacks follow-through amid Hormuz optimism and sliding US bond yields. Meanwhile, hot US PCE inflation data keeps Fed rate-hike bets on the table, acting as a tailwind for the buck and capping non-yielding bullion.

WTI slips below $81.50 amid Middle East diplomacy
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price depreciates after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around $81.30 per barrel during the Asian hours on Thursday. Crude oil prices decline amid signs of diplomatic progress in the Middle East.
60 days to pay: Nvidia is financing its own demand
The Jensen Huang-helmed Nvidia (NVDA) delivered its second-quarter earnings print with its stock roughly 11% beneath the peak it set in May and around 8% beneath where it traded in mid-August, on the day it told the market it would stand behind up to $105 billion of a single customer's rent. Then it beat everything. Revenue of $96.221 billion against a consensus near $92 billion.
Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole dilemma: Say too much, too little, or just enough

Kevin Warsh is preparing to deliver his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair on Friday, and expectations extend well beyond whether interest rates will be raised or left unchanged in September.