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Intraday market analysis – Sterling tests key resistance

GBP/USD builds bullish momentum

The Bank of England followed the US Fed’s dovish footstep on Thursday in an attempt to rein in inflation expectations. This has led the pound to hit a wall once again at the psychological level of 1.4000.

Those who believe in the third time’s a charm may find support at 1.3850 after the pair made a series of higher lows.

A bullish breakout could push the price towards 1.4150 or even end the three-week-long consolidation. A drop below 1.3800, however, may dent the upward bias from a medium-term perspective.

GBPUSD

USD/JPY in rectangle consolidation

Rally in risk assets come at the expense of a safer Japanese yen. Though the BoJ would sit on its hands and find no issue in a weaker currency as global trade makes a comeback.

The US dollar has so far found support above the previous lows around 108.30. The RSI has dropped back into neutral territory from an overbought situation, which may prompt more buyers to get in the game.

A breakout above the horizontal range (109.30) could extend the rally to last June’s high at 109.80.

USDJPY

XAG/USD bounces off ascending trendline

A softer US dollar is exactly what commodity traders have been waiting for. Silver is looking to safeguard its gains after the latest pop above the resistance at 26.40.

An over-extended RSI was followed up by profit-taking in the supply area. However, a nascent rising trendline hints at buyers’ strong interest in bidding up the price.

A reversal is in the making if the price action succeeds in staying above 25.80.

A bullish breakout above 26.90 could trigger a broader rally into the 28s.

XAGUSD

Author

Jing Ren

Jing-Ren has extensive experience in currency and commodities trading. He began his career in metal sales and trading at Societe Generale in London.

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