|

How yields will push SPX around now

S&P 500 opened with a bullish gap indeed, daily breadth was quite positive (sectoral view), but (short duration) Treasuries auction stood in the way (forcing S&P 500 selling) – we got though late session decent buying, so is everything squared and all right?

ES supports had been respected – 6,115 and 6,125 are the more important ones, the premarket call for 6,135 test in our interaday channel worked out well first touch – but which way are the risks balanced? The decisive factors are today‘s Treasury auctions and FOMC minutes (expect them not to be aligned, very varying opinions expressed).

SMCI did well (my key pick early last week alongside HOOD and UPST), but today‘s packed yet only 6min lasting video gives you a very clear answer as to where I see the key shift happening. Let me just say that China stocks will notice, BIDU didn‘t enthuse me, so beware BABA chasers, the clock to midnight is ticking! Just as with the Forbes cover, you hear extensive China bullish coverage only when some top is almost knocking on the dorr. Check also AAPL, rejected at $245 – even META stumbled…

What do I make of it? Having reviewed the in-depth video, check below in the client sections. How do you like this odd weakness in Bitcoin – are risks here skewed to the upside really heavily?

Chart
Chart
Chart

Author

Monica Kingsley

Monica Kingsley

Monicakingsley

Monica Kingsley is a trader and financial analyst serving countless investors and traders since Feb 2020.

More from Monica Kingsley
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD could test 1.1750 amid strengthening bullish bias

EUR/USD remains flat after two days of small losses, trading around 1.1740 during the Asian hours on Thursday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a strengthening of a bullish bias, as the pair continues to trade within an ascending channel pattern.

GBP/USD consolidates above mid-1.3300s as traders await BoE and US CPI report

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.3310 area, or a one-week low, and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3370 region, down less than 0.10% for the day, as traders opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key central bank event risk and US consumer inflation data.

Gold awaits weekly trading range breakout ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher back closer to the $4,350 level and trades with a mild negative bias during the Asian session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar uptick, though it is likely to remain cushioned on the back of a supportive fundamental backdrop. 

Dogecoin breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.