How to trade the US Existing Home Sales with EUR/USD

Existing Home Sales serve as an indicator for the important housing sector and it has a significant impact on markets.
The Market Impact Tool shows trading opportunities in both upside and downside surprises on this event.
In the last five releases, the EURUSD moved, on average, 0 pips in the 15 minutes after the data release and 36 pips in the following 4 hours.

Yohay Elam FXStreet

Buying EUR/USD Scenario

Tradable Negative Trigger: -0.82 deviation (5.36) [BUY Pair]
Key Resistance Level: 1.1650

If it comes out lower than expected at a relative deviation of -0.82 or less (5.36 or lower in actual terms), the EURUSD may go up reaching a range of 29 pips in the first 15 minutes and 65 pips in the following 4 hours.

1.1650 was a resistance line on June 18th. It is followed by 1.1730 which provided support to the pair before the pair collapsed, and 1.1850 that served as a high point on June 14th.

Selling EUR/USD Scenario

Tradable Positive Trigger: +0.79 deviation (5.66 ) [SELL Pair]

Key Support Level: 1.1510

This time, if it comes out at higher than expected with a relative deviation of 0.79 or higher (5.66 or higher in actual terms), the pair may go down reaching a range of 26 pips in the first 15 minutes and 68 pips in the following 4 hours.

Some support awaits at the June 15th lows of 1.1545 but stronger support awaits at 1.1510 which is 2018 low and the lowest point since July 2017. Further down, 1.1480 is notable for serving as an important line last summer.

EUR/USD Levels on the Chart

EUR USD crashing on Trump's tariffs June 19 2018

More data

In the last five releases, the EURUSD moved, on average, 0 pips in the 15 minutes after the data release and 36 pips in the following 4 hours. The previous release had a negative surprise of -0.60 in terms of relative deviation and the EURUSD reached a 0 pip range in the first 15 minutes and a range of 26 pips 4 hours thereafter.

Follow the publication of the figure on the economic calendar. Watch out for the data from the Market Impact tool, projecting the potential price changes according to the deviation. Here is the Market Impact Studies Users Guide.

Author

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

160.00: USD/JPY back near intervention territory after upbeat US jobs report

US Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations by a wide margin in May, with 172K jobs added. The US Dollar rebounds after the release, helping USD/JPY recover from its intraday lows. Warnings from Japanese authorities continue to limit upside potential near the 160.00 threshold.

Gold targets $4,300 amid stronger Dollar

Gold faces increasing selling interest and navigates the area of three-month lows near the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s decline comes as traders assess the stronger-than-expected NFP, while the bid bias in the Greenback and higher US Treasury yields also collaborate with the retracement.

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano (ADA) price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.