|

Greenback goes up in smoke as hassett lights the fuse

The dollar didn’t just slip in a sleepy, illiquid Asian session — it detonated. With half the globe still on Easter break and liquidity thinner than rice paper, all it took was one spark — and the entire FX board caught fire. That spark? NEC Director Kevin Hassett throwing Powell back under the bus, confirming that Trump’s still exploring how to remove the Fed Chair, while accusing the central bank of playing partisan politics. Translation for markets? The Fed’s independence just got yanked back into the headlines — and traders wasted no time taking the other side.

The move was swift and brutal. Hedge funds were flooding the Asia efx tape, selling the dollar against anything that wasn’t nailed down. EURUSD exploded to 3-year highs — never mind the fact that Europe’s still economically underwater. The yen? Ripped through 141, posting an 11% rally from the January lows. Meanwhile, gold didn’t just wake up — it went thermonuclear, blowing past $3,370 like last week’s dip was a bad dream.

This wasn’t data-driven — it was pure headline reflex, triggered by the smell of political instability bleeding into monetary credibility. Powell may be staying quiet, but the market isn’t. If the Fed won’t cut, Trump’s strategy is clear: trash the markets until financial conditions ease anyway. That’s not forward guidance — that’s a street brawl between the White House and the Eccles Building.

And here’s where things get interesting: Bitcoin joined the rebellion. Usually, a collapsing dollar signals chaos for crypto — risk-off, carry unwinds, beta selloffs. But this time? BTC surged over $2,000, punching through $87K with its biggest one-day move since "Liberation Day." The BTC-DXY correlation? Snapped like a dry twig. This wasn’t just a breakout — it was a rotation. Gold is screaming policy protest, and now Bitcoin is tagging in as the next anti-fiat weapon.

Because let’s be real — if the dollar keeps disintegrating, the BOJ and ECB won’t just sit there holding the bag. A runaway yen or euro would be economic suicide, and everyone knows it. The moment they retaliate — likely with rate cuts and the resurrection of QE — the next global liquidity flood begins.

Author

Stephen Innes

Stephen Innes

SPI Asset Management

With more than 25 years of experience, Stephen has a deep-seated knowledge of G10 and Asian currency markets as well as precious metal and oil markets.

More from Stephen Innes
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.