Gold: Volatility still clearly very high [Video]

Richard Perry Independent Analyst

Gold

Gold has been seeing some wild movements in recent days as a sharp three day rally added over 10% back on to the price (having previously fallen almost -15% during the $1702 to $1450 sell-off). However volatility is still clearly very high and this does not necessarily mean that gold will be traveling entirely in one direction. As we come into the European session, gold is beginning to slip slightly once more. This could simply be an account of near term profit-taking (and effectively moderating some of the exuberance of the recent rebound). It could generate another corrective near term move though. The hourly chart shows a rolling over from $1635 overnight. This is unwinding overbought hourly momentum. If the RSI were to pull below 40 and hourly MACD back below neutral it would indicate that the near term bull move has played out and at least a more ranging outlook could be formed. A move back under $1585 (intraday low from yesterday) would add to the likelihood of a pullback towards the pivot area (of old highs and lows in the past couple of weeks) between $1553/$1560.

Author

Richard Perry

Independent Analyst

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans.

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.