Gold: The bulls cannot now sustain traction in a run higher [Video]

Richard Perry Independent Analyst

Gold

The control that the gold bulls had during July and early August has been lost. An uptrend that supported the run higher during the summer months has now been broken as a phase of neutral trading has set in. What we now see is that gold has developed a range between $1902/$2015. Anything into the low $1900s is finding support, but as the market again fell over on Friday, the bulls cannot now sustain traction in a run higher. Momentum has been neutralised, with daily RSI, MACD and Stochastics all around their neutral points. The 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (of $1451/$2072) at $1926 is still a key element of support (on a closing basis especially) and is seen as a key gauge. However the bulls seem to be increasingly misfiring. It was interesting to see the old$1955 pivot coming back in as a basis of resistance again on Friday. This resistance will need to be decisively overcome for the bulls to believe that traction is beginning to be made again. Initial support is $1937/$1940 which is protecting the 23.6% Fib level again today.

Author

Richard Perry

Independent Analyst

Richard Perry, Independent Market Analyst, has over 20 years of experience working in financial markets in London.

USD/JPY hovers below 160.50 intervention zone ahead of FOMC decision

USD/JPY remains below the 160.50 intervention zone in the Asian session on Wednesday. Despite the BoJ's rate hike to its highest level since 1995, Japan's borrowing costs remain significantly lower than the US, undermining the Japanese Yen. However, thpair US Dollar remains on the back foot amid the optimism over the US-Iran peace deal and ahead of the Fed policy decision, weighing on the pair.

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7050; looks to Fed for fresh impetus

AUD/USD is consolidating above mid-0.7000s in the Asian session on Wednesday as traders await the outcome of a two-day FOMC meeting due later in the day. In the meantime, the optimism over an interim peace deal between the US and Iran keeps the US Dollar bulls on the defensive. This, along with the RBA's hawkish pause on Tuesday, acts as a tailwind for the pair.

Gold buyers lack conviction as Fed policy decision looms

Gold is holding its five-day winning streak near $4,350 in Asian trading on Wednesday, but remains within this week’s familiar range. Traders look forward to the all-important US Federal Reserve monetary policy decision for a clear directional impetus.

Bitcoin holds $65,000 as Uniswap and Worldcoin extend rally

Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing headwinds above $65,000 following the Bank of Japan’s rate hike to 1% on Tuesday. Still, Uniswap (UNI) and Worldcoin (WLD) continue to rally amid rising retail interest, while Bitcoin’s recovery grows heavy. Bitcoin edges higher at press time on Wednesday, inching closer to $66,000 as it maintains a mixed near-term tone following the recent rebound from $60,000.

The most important event will be the Fed meeting with Mr. Warsh now in charge

The most important event will be the Fed meeting on Wednesday, with Mr. Warsh now in charge. As more than one analyst points out, the case for holding rates the same is strengthened by the Iran deal and the prospect of the Strait re-opening, although nobody thinks Warsh can marshal enough doves to do a cut this time.

Why a hawkish RBA is no longer enough to lift the Australian Dollar

The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered more than what markets expected: a hawkish hold that should have supported the Aussie. But markets widely ignored it, focusing instead on slowing economic growth and proving that central bank messaging alone isn’t always enough to drive currencies.