|

Gold: Still holding a medium to longer term positive outlook [Video]

Gold

The sharp sell-off from Friday has moderated and the market is looking to rebuild again. We still hold a medium to longer term positive outlook on gold and do not see Friday’s decline as an outlook changer. On the contrary, as long as the broader market panic selling does not re-appear then gold should find support (the sell-off was apparently as a result of forced selling amidst broad portfolio margin calls, rather than a negative view on gold). So, with effectively a doji candlestick yesterday (denoting uncertainty with the recent trend lower), we see this as a stabilising signal. The market is ticking marginally higher today to add to this. The RSI is back around 50, which has been buying opportunity levels within the 10 week uptrend which is still intact. Closing back above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (of $1445/$1688) at $1595 would be a positive signal, but the bulls need to get back above $1611 to really suggest the positive trend is decisively resuming. Friday’s spike low of $1565 is key support, with $1579 (yesterday’s low) also a minor higher low.

XAUUSD

Author

Richard Perry

Richard Perry

Independent Analyst

Richard Perry, Independent Market Analyst, has over 20 years of experience working in financial markets in London.

More from Richard Perry
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off four-day lows, still below 1.3500

GBP/USD sticks to the bearish tone on Thursday, coming down to the 1.3480 region in the latter part of the NA session. In the meantime, Cable’s weakness comes as investors continue to assess mixed UK data, poor US results, and the persistent uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict.

EUR/USD looks apathetic around 1.1530

EUR/USD reverses Wednesday’s downtick and trades with modest gains in the 1.1530 region following the end of the NA session on Thursday. The pair’s tepid advance comes on the back of the absence of clear direction in the US Dollar despite tensions from the Middle East appear far from alleviated. Later on Friday, investors are expected to monitor the the releases of another revision of GDP figures in the Euroland, US Retail Sales and the preliminary U-Mich gauge.

Gold loses the grip, recedes toward $4,350

Gold extends its intraday pullback on Thursday, retesting the $4,350 zone per troy ounce, or three-day troughs. Meanwhile, the yellow metal continues to monitor developments from the Middle East as well as bets surrounding the potential Fed’s rate path.

Ethereum Price Forecast: Fidelity plans to add staking to ETH ETF amid yield debate
Asset manager Fidelity has filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to permit staking in its Ethereum (ETH) exchange-traded fund (ETF), the Fidelity Ethereum Fund (FETH), which holds over $898 million in net assets.
Week ahead – Summer lull could be tested by geopolitics and central bank expectations

US dollar stabilizes as September Fed hike bets remain subdued. Market volatility stays low, but thin liquidity could amplify movements. Key UK data could challenge pound strength; euro craves bullish catalysts.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.