Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to post additional gains with daily close above $1,800


  • XAU/USD is rising toward key resistance area on Thursday.
  • USD continues to have a difficult time finding demand.
  • Focus shifts to Friday's US labour market report. 

The XAU/USD pair closed in the positive territory on Wednesday and preserved its bullish momentum on Thursday. As of writing, the pair was trading in the upper half of its weekly range, rising 0.25% on the day at $1,791.

The selling pressure surrounding the greenback is allowing XAU/USD to edge higher. Reflecting the broad-based USD weakness, the US Dollar Index is losing 0.25% at 91.03. On the other hand, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield, which lost nearly 4% in the first half of the week, is staging a rebound and limiting gold's gains for the time being.

The data published by the US Department of Labor revealed on Thursday that the weekly Initial Jobless Claims declined to the lowest level since the beginning of the pandemic at 498,000. This reading came in better than the market expectation of 540,000 but failed to help the USD find demand as investors remain on the sidelines ahead of Friday's key jobs report.

Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in the US is expected to increase by 978,000 in April. Furthermore, analysts see the Unemployment Rate edging lower to 5.8% from 6% in March. Market participants will also pay close attention to the Average Hourly Earnings, as stronger-than-expected wage inflation could provide a boost to T-bond yields and force gold to reverse its direction.

Gold technical outlook

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the daily chart is inching higher on Thursday. However, gold may need to make a daily close above $1,800, where the 100-day SMA is currently located, in order to attract buyers. Above that level, $1,820 (Fibonacci 50% retracement of the January-March downtrend) aligns as the next target ahead of $1,840 (static level). 

On the flip side, the near-term outlook could turn bearish if gold violates the 20-day SMA at $1,770. $1,755 (static level) could act as interim support before $1,740 (50-day SMA/Fibonacci 23.6% retracement). 

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD fluctuates in daily range above 1.0600

EUR/USD fluctuates in daily range above 1.0600

EUR/USD struggles to gather directional momentum and continues to fluctuate above 1.0600 on Tuesday. The modest improvement seen in risk mood limits the US Dollar's gains as investors await Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD stabilizes near 1.2450 ahead of Powell speech

GBP/USD stabilizes near 1.2450 ahead of Powell speech

GBP/USD holds steady at around 1.2450 after recovering from the multi-month low it touched near 1.2400 in the European morning. The USD struggles to gather strength after disappointing housing data. Market focus shifts to Fed Chairman Powell's appearance.

GBP/USD News

Gold retreats to $2,370 as US yields push higher

Gold retreats to $2,370 as US yields push higher

Gold stages a correction on Tuesday and fluctuates in negative territory near $2,370 following Monday's upsurge. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield continues to push higher above 4.6% and makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gain traction.

Gold News

XRP struggles below $0.50 resistance as SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit likely to enter final pretrial conference

XRP struggles below $0.50 resistance as SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit likely to enter final pretrial conference

XRP is struggling with resistance at $0.50 as Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) are gearing up for the final pretrial conference on Tuesday at a New York court. 

Read more

US outperformance continues

US outperformance continues

The economic divergence between the US and the rest of the world has become increasingly pronounced. The latest US inflation prints highlight that underlying inflation pressures seemingly remain stickier than in most other parts of the world.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures