|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds firm above $3,400 aims for higher highs

XAU/USD Current price: $3,414.05

  • US President Donald Trump renewed his attack on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.
  • US indexes collapse amid concerns about the economic performance under Trump.
  • XAU/USD is likely to keep posting record highs, with dips seen as buying opportunities.

Spot Gold traded as high as $3,430.36 on Monday, rallying on continued US Dollar (USD) weakness. Market players keep losing confidence in the Greenback amid United States (US) President Donald Trump's decisions.

After launching a trade war with all its trading counterparts, Trump has chosen a new target: Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The US President complained last Thursday about Powell’s decision to go slow with rate cuts. Even further, he called for his dismissal, saying Powell’s “termination cannot come fast enough.”

Trump lifted the bets on Monday, posting "Preemptive cuts in interest rates are being called for by many. With energy costs way down, food prices (including Biden’s egg disaster!) substantially lower, and most other 'things' trending down, there is virtually no inflation," calling Powell Mr. Too Late and a major loser.

Other than that, the American President reported progress on talks with Russia and Ukraine. According to his words, there is a good chance a deal will be done this week. His latest words, however, fell short of impressing investors, with all the major US indexes in sell-off mode.

XAU/USD short-term technical outlook

From a technical point of view, the XAU/USD pair is poised to extend its gains. The daily chart shows it keeps moving above bullish moving averages, with the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) currently at around $3,134. The distance between the closest moving average and the current price is a clear indication of the strong buying momentum. At the same time, technical indicators keep heading north, despite standing in overbought readings, another sign of bulls' dominance.

In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, XAU/USD has room to extend its advance. Technical indicators eased modestly from their recent highs but lack any bearish momentum. Particularly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator hovers at around 81 with no signs of giving back. Finally, the 20 SMA accelerated north above the longer ones, while offering dynamic support in the $3,320 region.

Support levels:3,400.00 3,386.40 3,375.50

Resistance levels: 3,430.40 3,445.00 3,460.00

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 as traders await RBA rate decision

AUD/USD extends its consolidative price move through the Asian session on Tuesday, trading just above 0.7000 ahead of the RBA rate decision. Meanwhile, the US Dollar sits near a two-month high as oil-driven inflation fears reaffirm Fed hike bets and continue to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Moreover, the US-Iran standoff underpins the safe-haven buck and caps the currency pair.

USD/JPY consolidates near 157.50 as a bullish USD counters intervention risks

USD/JPY struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from a one-week low, consolidating around mid-157.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday. Trump's concerns about the Japanese Yen's weakness fueled speculation about another US-Japan joint intervention. This, along with the hawkish BoJ, underpins the JPY and caps the currency pair. Meanwhile, rising Fed rate-hike bets and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year highs, keeping the US Dollar pinned near a two-month high and supporting spot prices.

Gold bears await $4,100 break amid Fed hike bets and surging US bond yields

Gold consolidates the previous day's heavy losses to its lowest level since August 5, awaiting a break below $4,100 before the next leg down. Oil-driven inflation fears reaffirm bets of another Fed rate hike in October and continue to push US bond yields to multi-year highs, undermining the non-yielding bullion. Moreover, geopolitical risks help the US Dollar stand firm near a two-month high, which, in turn, favors XAU/USD bears.

RBA set to hike interest rate to 4.60% in September as inflation remains elevated
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.60% from 4.35% on Tuesday, after keeping rates unchanged at its previous two meetings The decision will be announced at 04:30 GMT, accompanied by the Monetary Policy Statement (MPS), and followed by RBA Governor Michele Bullock’s press conference at 05:30 GMT.
NEAR intents blocks more than $50M in attempted laundering linked to Bitget exploit

NEAR Intents, a cross-chain trading protocol, has blocked more than $50 million in attempted laundering flows linked to the recent Bitget exploit, while freezing $503,000 during the execution process. The intervention was carried out through SHIELD, the protocol’s risk-intelligence system, which monitors transactions for links to hacks and other illicit activity, according to a Monday report.

Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.