|

Gold Price Forecast: Quick pullback from 1,800 area hints at further slides

XAU/USD Current price:  $1,793.93

  • US inflation is expected to have reached a record of 7% YoY in December.
  • US Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, is due to testify before the Senate.
  • XAU/USD met buyers around the 1,800 level as the dollar appreciates alongside bond yields.

Spot gold consolidates at around $1,794 a troy ounce, flat on a daily basis. The bright metal peaked at 1,802.32, giving up ahead of the US opening as demand for the American currency picked up. Market players are waiting for an update on US inflation. The country will publish the December Consumer Price Index expected at 7% YoY, up from a preliminary estimate of 6.8%. The core reading is seen jumping to 5.4% from 4.9%.

Concerns have led the way ever since the US Federal Reserve released the Minutes of its latest meeting, hinting at an urge to tame inflation. The Nonfarm Payrolls report bring some noise on Friday, but the focus returned to price pressures. Wall Street opened with a soft tone, extending losses as the session develops, while government bond yields jumped north, with the 10-year US Treasury note yielding as much as 1.80% on Monday.

Meanwhile, market players are waiting for US Fed Chief, Jerome Powell, due to testify on Tuesday on the renomination to chair the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before the Senate Banking Committee.

Gold price short-term technical outlook

The daily chart for the XAU/USD pair offers a neutral-to-bearish stance, as the metal hovers around a directionless 100 SMA, just below converging 20 and 200 SMAs, which also lack directional strength. Technical indicators, in the meantime, head marginally lower yet within neutral levels.

In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, the risk is skewed to the downside. The pair is battling with its 200 SMA, while meeting sellers around a bearish 20 SMA. At the same time, technical indicators have lost their upward strength within negative levels. The bearish case will be firmer on a break below 1,782.60, Friday’s low.

Support levels: 1,782.60, 1,770.10 1,761.90

Resistance levels: 1,798.30 1,809.50 1,820.15

View Live Chart for the XAU/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD strengthens to near 1.3500 as Fed rate hike bets ease

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to near 1.3495 during the early European trading hours on Friday. The British Pound edges higher against the US Dollar as cooler-than-expected US consumer and producer price data have limited the Federal Reserve's room for further interest rate hikes. Traders will keep an eye on the US July Retail Sales report later on Friday.



EUR/USD gains as receding Fed hike bets weigh on USD; geopolitical risks cap upside

The EUR/USD pair attracts some follow-through buyers during the Asian session, and looks to build on the previous day's modest bounce from the vicinity of the 1.1500 psychological mark, or an over one-week low. Spot prices, however, remain confined in a two-week-old range and currently trade below 1.1550 amid mixed cues.

Gold finds some support ahead of $4,300 as USD remains depressed on receding Fed hike bets

Gold attracts some follow-through selling for the second consecutive day and retreats further from its highest level since June 5, around $4,450, which it touched the previous day. The commodity, however, finds some support ahead of the $4,300 mark as traders refrain from placing aggressive directional bets amid mixed fundamental cues.

Ethereum on-chain signal remains weak even as mild retail distribution continues

Ethereum (ETH) continued to consolidate in the tight $1,800-$2,000 range amid weak signals across key on-chain metrics. ETH Exchange Netflow, which measures the difference between coins flowing in and out of exchanges, indicates mild dominance in selling activity after its 14-day moving average flipped positive.

Dollar dominance is cracking and the Fort Knox Gold question won’t go away

Imagine somebody repeatedly claiming to have $100,000 in the bank but refusing to produce a statement or even balance the checkbook. The money might be there, but without verification, skepticism would be reasonable.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.