|

Gold Price Forecast: Bulls challenging Fibonacci resistance

XAU/USD Current price:  $1,765.01

  • Gold prices recovered sharply as investors rush into safety on equities slump.
  • Market participants focused on US employment data, waiting for the Nonfarm Payrolls report.
  • XAU/USD is poised to extend its advance in the near term, eyeing 1,777.75 resistance.

Spot gold up roared following a dismal Wall Street opening and trades at its highest in over a week near a daily high of $1,770.57 a troy ounce. Demand for the safe-haven metal is inversely proportional to the equities slide, as US indexes trade with sharp losses. Market participants are concerned about Chinese financial stability, as Evergrande make it again to the highlights. The company halted trading during Asian trading hours, and there was later news indicating it would sell a stake in its property management business for more than US$5 billion. Worth noting that the company accumulates a US$305 billion debt.

At the same time, demand for the American currency receded on the back of lower US government bond yields. After Friday’s slide, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note held below the 1.50% threshold, currently hovering around 1.47%.

Investors are waiting for US employment data, as the numbers could be a game-changer. US Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell has said that one good employment report would be enough to convince him it’s time for tapering. Ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls report to be out on Friday, the country will publish the ADP survey and the usual weekly unemployment figures.

Gold price short-term technical outlook

XAU/USD trades just above the 38.2% retracement of its latest daily slump, and the daily chart indicates that further gains are still in doubt. The bright metal stalled just below a bearish 20 SMA, while technical indicators have turned flat within negative levels. A daily close above 1,765.35, a Fibonacci level, should favor a bullish extension in the upcoming sessions.

The 4-hour chart shows that gold has bounced from a bullish 20 SMA, while it’s currently overcoming a bearish 100 SMA. Technical indicators have resumed their advances within positive levels, indicating persistent buying interest.

 Support levels: 1,764.35 1,748.05 1,735.26  

Resistance levels: 1,777.75 1,787.30 1,798.50

View Live Chart for the XAU/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold struggles below $4,300 level with bears still in control

Gold is trimming some losses on Friday, trading just below the $4,300 level after bouncing from support in the $4,230 area. The broader bearish trend, however, remains intact as market expectations pf further Federal Reserve rate highs and long-term US Treasury yields above the 5% level are likely to pose a heavy weight on precious metals.

Ripple, Cardano, Solana: ETF inflows and whale demand signal further rally
Ripple (XRP), Cardano (ADA), and Solana (SOL) continue to experience a steady recovery with double-digit gains so far this month. Ripple and Solana experience firm institutional demand, while the percentage of ADA supply in profit rises, underpinned by interest from large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales.
The Dollar is winning, but markets may be losing
The dollar is strengthening, Treasury yields are approaching levels not seen in almost two decades, and oil prices are again adding to inflation concerns. For currency traders, these developments appear to offer a relatively straightforward conclusion: higher US interest rates should support the dollar. But the broader market picture is considerably more complicated.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.