Gold has been in a congestion since late February. That congestion now looks to have ended. This 8 hour bar chart is for the gold Exchange Traded Fund, GLD. Gold futures prices are ten times larger. 

Since the August 18th 2018 low, gold has now made a major move 1 and 2, as shown by the green boxed numbers. Moves within these major moves are numbered in white. Major move 1 is a Chaos Clamshell. Within it, move 5 expanded 
into its own 7 move Chaos Clamshell as shown in the small red boxed numbers. 

Move 1 ran for 16.2 points. Move 2 was 7.66 point, about a 47% retracement. Treating these moves as A and B of a simple ABC, and using the common projection of A=C suggests a target price of 135.75. 

From the 8/16/2018 low to the 4/23/2019 low is 250 calendar days for two of the 7 moves in a Chaos Clamshell. That would project 875 days for the complete pattern, reaching to 1/7/2021

More details of the development of this pattern can be tracked by overlaying my Fractal of Pi pattern,  from my course by the same name. This course is a sequel to my Cash In On Chaos course. This pair of courses  are a good starting point for learning how chaos works in markets.  

 

This content was published on Dr. Al Larson's Chaos Clinic which you can attend each Friday for free.

Dr. Al Larson has developed a complete Chaos Model of Markets, four unique courses that let you become a Certified Chaos Trader, some very unique eMylar fractal pattern overlays, and tools that permit forecasting individual stocks and markets years in advance. You can also sign up for a free weekly email, and attend a free Chaos Clinic on Fridays. To learn more, click on the author's profile.

Be sure to sign up for the free weekly email! 

Information on this page contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these securities. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD could extend the recovery to 0.6500 and above

AUD/USD could extend the recovery to 0.6500 and above

The enhanced risk appetite and the weakening of the Greenback enabled AUD/USD to build on the promising start to the week and trade closer to the key barrier at 0.6500 the figure ahead of key inflation figures in Australia.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD now refocuses on the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD now refocuses on the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD extended its positive momentum and rose above the 1.0700 yardstick, driven by the intense PMI-led retracement in the US Dollar as well as a prevailing risk-friendly environment in the FX universe.

EUR/USD News

Gold struggles around $2,325 despite broad US Dollar’s weakness

Gold struggles around $2,325 despite broad US Dollar’s weakness

Gold reversed its direction and rose to the $2,320 area, erasing a large portion of its daily losses in the process. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in the red below 4.6% following the weak US PMI data and supports XAU/USD.

Gold News

Bitcoin price makes run for previous cycle highs as Morgan Stanley pushes BTC ETF exposure

Bitcoin price makes run for previous cycle highs as Morgan Stanley pushes BTC ETF exposure

Bitcoin (BTC) price strength continues to grow, three days after the fourth halving. Optimism continues to abound in the market as Bitcoiners envision a reclamation of previous cycle highs.

Read more

US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization

US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization

Historically there is a very close correlation between changes in US Treasury yields and German Bund yields. This is relevant at the current juncture, considering that the recent hawkish twist in the tone of the Federal Reserve might continue to push US long-term interest rates higher and put upward pressure on bond yields in the Eurozone. 

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures