|

Gold has only one resistance point left: The all-time high

Gold

On a monthly chart, the last resistance point for gold is the $1923 peak in 2011.

Why Gold?

Tensions of all sorts are on the rise in the US , EU, and globally: Covid, employment, fiscal stimulus China (military and economic), and massive increases in money supply by the central banks, especially the Fed

Cup and Handle

The Cup and Handle is a technical formation. A handle is formed on a pullback before the pattern blasts higher.

Of course, there may be no handle. Gold may just blast higher (or collapse) but fundamentals suggest higher, perhaps after some consolidation.

Gold vs Faith in Central Banks

Gold

Gold does worst when faith in central banks is the highest. Greenspan's great moderation is the best example. Greenspan was considered the great "Maestro" who could do no wrong.

That theory crashed to earth in the DotCom bust. We have now had 3 major economic bubbles in 20 years.

If you currently have any faith that Central Banks have things under control, then please explain where you got that notion.

It should be obvious that the Fed is boosting financial assets but that is not going to create jobs or cure covid. 

In short, the Fed is blowing bubbles, many believe on purpose, and gold has responded to the stress. 

I do not see a reversal in Fed policy. Do you?

Author

Mike “Mish” Shedlock's

Mike “Mish” Shedlock's

Sitka Pacific Capital Management,Llc

Mike “Mish” Shedlock is a registered investment advisor for SitkaPacific Capital Management.

More from Mike “Mish” Shedlock's
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains flattish around 1.3300

GBP/USD alternates gains with losses near the 1.3300 threshold on Wednesday. Indeed, Cable struggles to gain traction as the Greenback remains resilient ahead of the Fed gathering later in the day. Moving forward, the British Pound should remain under the microscope in light of the BoE meeting on Thursday.

EUR/USD treads water below 1.1400; focus is on the Fed

EUR/USD trades in a tight range below 1.1400 on Wednesday as the US Dollar (USD) benefits from risk aversion amid the deepening crisis in the Middle East. Investors refrain from taking large positions ahead of the Fed’s policy decision, which could provide fresh directional impetus for spot.

Gold recedes to multi-day troughs below $4,000

Gold remains on the back foot on Wednesday, breaching below the psychological $4,000 level per troy ounce despite the US Dollar’s lack of direction. Escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict weigh on the precious metal, while investors await the FOMC event later in the day.

Bitcoin slips below support, Ethereum and XRP flash bearish signals

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday after a mild correction earlier this week. BTC slips below a key support zone, and ETH is testing a key resistance zone. Meanwhile, XRP is drifting toward the psychologically important $1.00 support level.

Federal Reserve set to hold interest rates steady, yet a hike can’t be ruled out
The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, another pivotal meeting for markets to gauge the stance of policymakers as they assess how rising crude Oil prices could impact the inflation outlook.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.