|

Gold: 1970 is the better selling opportunity this week

Gold – Silver

Gold Spot in a volatile sideways consolidation exactly as predicted many days ago, making holding longs risky at this stage despite the longer term bull trend. There are risks of a further correction to the downside.

Initially we held below 1925/20 for a sell signal targeting 1902/00 & bottomed exactly here. An unexpectedly strong recovery shot higher through 1930 to the next target & resistance at 1951/53. We topped exactly here. Outlook remains erratic & volatile.

I would only consider medium term long positions again on a break above 1980.

Silver Spot also in an erratic, volatile sideways trend & likely to remain difficult to trade.

Daily Analysis

Gold holding minor resistance at 1951/53 in the sideways trend targets 1935/33, perhaps as far as minor support at 1928/26. If we continue lower look for 1921 & 1914/12. Further losses retest 1902/00. A break lower targets 1193/92 & perhaps as far as 1884/82.

Resistance at 1951/53. Strongest resistance at 1970/75 today is the better selling opportunity this week. Shorts need stops above 1980. A break higher is more positive initially targeting 1990 & 1996/98.

Silver holding first support at 2705/00 re-targets resistance at 2735/40. Unlikely but further gains retest last week's high at 2760/70.

Holding below 2690 retests minor support at 2672/70. Better support at 2643/40.

Longs need stops below 2630 for 2605/00, perhaps as far as 2575/70. A break below 2560 risks a slide to 2510, perhaps as far as support at 2485/75.

Trends 
Weekly OutlookNeutral
Daily OutlookNeutral
Short Term OutlookNeutral

Chart

XAU

Author

Jason Sen

Jason Sen

DayTradeIdeas.co.uk

More from Jason Sen
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar recovers ahead of ECB, more Trump in the docket

The EUR/USD pair soared in the last week of January, hitting a multi-year high of 1.2082 before finally retreating and trimming most of its weekly gains to settle around the 1.1900 level. The US Dollar gapped lower on Monday, on headlines suggesting the United States intended to intervene in the Japanese Yen.

GBP/USD retreats further, threatens 1.3700

Selling pressure remains on the rise, dragging GBP/USD back towards three-day lows around 1.3720-1.3710 at the end of the week. Cable’s retracement reflects a firmer rebound in the Greenback as investors digest Trump’s announcement of the next Fed chair.

Gold: Correction should be temporary

Gold kept winning this week, and on Thursday it briefly reached new all-time highs just beyond the $5,600 mark per troy ounce. Since then, the yellow metal has entered a correction phase, as some traders took profits at the right time and the US Dollar rose sharply.

Week ahead: Could strong US data shift focus from Trump’s rhetoric?

Significant market moves keep investors on their toes. Trump has been the primary source of volatility, mainly when targeting the Fed. Pivotal US data releases next week as markets adjust to potential Warsh Fed nomination. RBA, BoE and ECB meet next week; decent chances of surprises across the board. Dollar/Yen prepares for February 8 elections; gold experiences its first substantial correction.

Global central banks hold steady as EMs signal easing ahead

Central banks across both G10 and emerging markets met this week, with most opting to keep policy rates unchanged. Canada, Sweden, Brazil and Chile all held rates steady. Beyond central bank decisions, the Eurozone's solid Q4 GDP growth bolstered the case for the ECB to keep policy rates unchanged next week.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple deepen sell-off as bears take control of momentum

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple continued their corrections on Friday, posting weekly losses of nearly 6%, 3%, and 5%, respectively. BTC is nearing the November lows at $80,000, while ETH slips below $2,800 amid increasing downside pressure.