Geopolitical crisis

Naeem Aslam Zaye Capital Markets

If there is any risk which is bigger than anything right now, even more so than a sovereign crisis of a developing country, it is geopolitical tensions between the super powers. For instance, right now, all eyes are on President Putin’s upcoming speech on Friday, and it is widely anticipated that on Friday, he will be announcing the extension of the Russian border—the land taken from Ukraine.

In addition, banks like JP Morgan, Citi, and others have started to build risk scenarios that they would have never thought of in their wildest dreams, for example, taking into account the scenario of China attacking Taiwan, as the US is encouraging the Island’s independence in so many ways, and President Biden has vowed the support the country with the US army if there is a conflict. China would never like to have the presence of the US army near its boundaries, and traders believe that to eliminate this threat, it will likely do what Russia did with Ukraine. If such a scenario takes place, we would see economic sanctions like those imposed on Russia, applied to China, and that would really be the final nail in the coffin of hopes for recovery of the world's economic growth.

Author

Naeem Aslam

Zaye Capital Markets

Based in London, Naeem Aslam is the co-founder of CompareBroker.io and is well-known on financial TV with regular contributions on Bloomberg, CNBC, BBC, Fox Business, France24, Sky News, Al Jazeera and many other tier-one media across the globe.

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans.

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.