General yields have pulled back maintaining relative strength of US 10-yr treasury

The black line shows the US 10-yr treasury, the red line shows the German bund, the blue line shows the British gilt and the green line shows the Japanese 10-yr treasury. The above chart shows that since 17 May general yields have declined (green rectangle). As such, the US-treasury has still maintained its general relative strength against European yields, which is likely to make the USD an attractive destination. We do note that Japanese monetary policy is ultra-loose, with an effort to maintain its yield at 0%. As such the general decline of the US 10-yr treasury has been felt greatest against the Japanese economy. Therefore, besides the reputation of the JPY been a safe-haven with the majority of its debt being held domestically and although on an absolute basis the US/JP spread is positive, the spread contraction with Japan contributed to the USD decline against JPY over the last few days as geo-political tensions increased.
Author

Russell Shor (MSTA, CFTe, MFTA) has an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa and holds the coveted Certified Financial Technician and Master of Financial Technical Analysis qualifications from the Interna

















