Following this mornings retail sales report, the Atlanta Fed GDPNow Model for 4th quarter 2016 GDP dipped to 2.4% from 2.6%.
Latest forecast: 2.4 percent — December 14, 2016
The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2016 is 2.4 percent on December 14, down from 2.6 percent on December 9. The forecast of fourth-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth fell from 2.3 percent to 2.1 percent after this morning’s retail sales report from the U.S. Census Bureau.
The New York Fed Nowcast has not been updated since December 2. Last Friday was embargoed on account of today’s FOMC meeting. Such silliness. The Atlanta Fed has no embargo.
More Reports
On Thursday, the Philadelphia Fed and Empire Fed regional reports come out. Nowcast takes those into consideration, but GDPNow doesn’t.
Also on Thursday, the Manufacturing Flash PMI is released.
On Friday, housing starts data is released, so there is plenty of room for both modes to change.
I will take a stab that the FRBNY Nowcast dips slightly below GDPNow following reports this week.
This material is based upon information that Sitka Pacific Capital Management considers reliable and endeavors to keep current, Sitka Pacific Capital Management does not assure that this material is accurate, current or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD posts gain, yet dive below 0.6500 amid Aussie CPI, ahead of US GDP
The Aussie Dollar finished Wednesday’s session with decent gains of 0.15% against the US Dollar, yet it retreated from weekly highs of 0.6529, which it hit after a hotter-than-expected inflation report. As the Asian session begins, the AUD/USD trades around 0.6495.
USD/JPY finds its highest bids since 1990, approaches 156.00
USD/JPY broke into its highest chart territory since June of 1990 on Wednesday, peaking near 155.40 for the first time in 34 years as the Japanese Yen continues to tumble across the broad FX market.
Gold stays firm amid higher US yields as traders await US GDP data
Gold recovers from recent losses, buoyed by market interest despite a stronger US Dollar and higher US Treasury yields. De-escalation of Middle East tensions contributed to increased market stability, denting the appetite for Gold buying.
Ethereum suffers slight pullback, Hong Kong spot ETH ETFs to begin trading on April 30
Ethereum suffered a brief decline on Wednesday afternoon despite increased accumulation from whales. This follows Ethereum restaking protocol Renzo restaked ETH crashing from its 1:1 peg with ETH and increased activities surrounding spot Ethereum ETFs.
Dow Jones Industrial Average hesitates on Wednesday as markets wait for key US data
The DJIA stumbled on Wednesday, falling from recent highs near 38,550.00 as investors ease off of Tuesday’s risk appetite. The index recovered as US data continues to vex financial markets that remain overwhelmingly focused on rate cuts from the US Fed.