GBP/USD Forecast: Pound turns fragile, eyes 1.3200 following unconvincing recovery attempt


  • GBP/USD has struggled to gain traction after dropping below 1.3200.
  • BoE's Mann says it's premature to talk about the timing of rate hikes.
  • Dollar holds its ground as Fed's Powell double downs on hawkish outlook.

GBP/USD has returned to 1.3300 area after plunging to its weakest level in nearly a year below 1.3200 on Tuesday but the pair is likely to have a tough time gathering recovery momentum in the near term.

After struggling to find demand amid falling US Treasury bond yields earlier in the week, the greenback regained its footing on FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell's hawkish remarks.

Powell told the US Senate Banking Committee that they will discuss speeding up asset tapering in the upcoming policy meeting and noted that it was time to stop describing inflation as 'transitory.' Commenting on the new coronavirus variant, Powell said that it could hurt the economic recovery but sounded more worried about its impact on the inflation outlook.

Reflecting the renewed dollar strength, the US Dollar Index is staying in the positive territory above 96.00 in the European trading hours on Wednesday.

On the other hand, Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Catherine Mann argued that it was premature to talk about the timing or the size of rate hikes while reiterating that inflation expectations were still well-anchored.

Later in the day, Powell will testify before the House Committee on Financial Services. The November ADP Employment Change and the ISM Manufacturing PMI will be featured in the US economic docket as well. 

Tuesday's market action confirmed, once again, that GBP/USD remains at the mercy of the dollar's market valuation and GBP/USD is expected to remain under bearish pressure unless the greenback faces a heavy selloff.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the four-chart stays below 50, suggesting that sellers remain in control of the pair's action in the near term. Moreover, GBP/USD trades below the 20-period SMA on the same chart, confirming the bearish shift in the technical outlook.

On the downside, supports are located at 1.3240 (static level) and 1.3200 (psychological level, 2021 low). 

1.3320 (20-period SMA) aligns as first resistance before 1.3360 (static level, 50-period SMA) and 1.3400 (psychological level, 50-period SMA).

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD hovers around 1.0700 ahead of German IFO survey

EUR/USD hovers around 1.0700 ahead of German IFO survey

EUR/USD is consolidating recovery gains at around 1.0700 in the European morning on Wednesday. The pair stays afloat amid strong Eurozone business activity data against cooling US manufacturing and services sectors. Germany's IFO survey is next in focus. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD steadies near 1.2450, awaits mid-tier US data

GBP/USD steadies near 1.2450, awaits mid-tier US data

GBP/USD is keeping its range at around 1.2450 in European trading on Wednesday. A broadly muted US Dollar combined with a risk-on market mood lend support to the pair, as traders await the mid-tier US Durable Goods data for further trading directives. 

GBP/USD News

Gold: Defending $2,318 support is critical for XAU/USD

Gold: Defending $2,318 support is critical for XAU/USD

Gold price is nursing losses while holding above $2,300 early Wednesday, stalling its two-day decline, as traders look forward to the mid-tier US economic data for fresh cues on the US Federal Reserve interest rates outlook.

Gold News

Crypto community reacts as BRICS considers launching stablecoin for international trade settlement

Crypto community reacts as BRICS considers launching stablecoin for international trade settlement

BRICS is intensifying efforts to reduce its reliance on the US dollar after plans for its stablecoin effort surfaced online on Tuesday. 

Read more

Three fundamentals for the week: US GDP, BoJ and the Fed's favorite inflation gauge stand out Premium

Three fundamentals for the week: US GDP, BoJ and the Fed's favorite inflation gauge stand out

While it is hard to predict when geopolitical news erupts, the level of tension is lower – allowing for key data to have its say. This week's US figures are set to shape the Federal Reserve's decision next week – and the Bank of Japan may struggle to halt the Yen's deterioration. 

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures