|

GBP/USD Forecast: Holding by a thread, bearish

GBP/USD Current price: 1.3803

  • The American dollar consolidates near its weekly high against most major rivals.
  • The US August Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is expected at 81.2.
  • GBP/USD could accelerate its slump once below 1.3790, the immediate support level.

The GBP/USD pair consolidates at the lower end of its weekly range, trading around the 1.3800 level. Major pairs had been lifeless as volatility plummeted following the release of US July inflation, which spur some temporal and limited dollar’s weakness. However, the American currency has recovered most of the ground shed then and trades near weekly highs across the FX board. The pound is its weakest rival, while safe-haven JPY and Gold are the strongest.

Mixed UK data released on Thursday fell short of boosting sterling, despite signs of a firmer economic comeback in the second quarter of the year. The country won’t publish macroeconomic data on Friday, while the US will release the preliminary estimate of the August Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, expected at 81.2.

GBP/USD short-term technical outlook

The GBP/USD pair is technically bearish and could extend its decline heading into the weekend. The pair posted a lower low at 1.3790, the immediate support level. In the 4-hour chart, the pair develops below all of its moving averages, with the 20 SMA heading firmly south between the longer ones. Technical indicators are directionless but remain within negative levels, reflecting bears’ dominance.

Support levels: 1.3790 1.3755 1.3710

Resistance levels: 1.3865 1.3910 1.3960  

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.