|

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical overview

Function: Bullish Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Orange Wave 5.

Position: Navy Blue Wave 1.

Direction (Next higher degree): Navy Blue Wave 2.

Details: Orange wave 4 appears completed, and orange wave 5 is now active. The invalidation level for this wave count is 1.31425.

Analysis summary

The GBPUSD daily chart presents a bullish trend characterized by impulsive price movement, indicating continued strength. Currently, the market is unfolding orange wave 5 within the broader navy blue wave 1 cycle. This positioning signals that GBPUSD is in the final stage of an impulsive advance, typically suggesting strong upward momentum.

The end of orange wave 4 signals the beginning of wave 5, generally associated with the final leg of an impulse sequence. The next key wave to observe will be navy blue wave 2, expected to be a corrective move following the completion of wave 5.

It is important to monitor the invalidation level at 1.31425. A drop below this level would negate the current wave scenario, prompting a reassessment of the bullish outlook. Until that occurs, the structure supports a continuation of the upward move.

Conclusion

GBPUSD is poised for potential further gains as wave 5 progresses. While buying interest appears strong, traders should be cautious and watch for reversal signals since this represents the final wave of the navy blue wave 1 structure.

Chart

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical overview

Function: Counter Trend.

Mode: Corrective.

Structure: Gray Wave 2.

Position: Orange Wave 3.

Direction (Next higher degree): Gray Wave 3.

Details: Gray wave 1 appears complete, and gray wave 2 is now unfolding. The invalidation level is set at 1.31425.

Analysis summary

The 4-hour chart of GBPUSD shows a corrective phase developing within a counter-trend setup. This movement is interpreted as gray wave 2 forming within the larger orange wave 3 cycle. The price action indicates a typical retracement, often seen before the trend resumes.

Gray wave 1 is considered complete, shifting the focus to the current correction under gray wave 2. This wave typically retraces a segment of wave 1's movement, allowing the market to consolidate. Once completed, gray wave 3 is expected to resume the dominant trend direction.

The structure suggests GBPUSD may trade within a range or experience minor pullbacks before the upward trend picks up again. The invalidation point at 1.31425 remains key; a move below this level would void the current Elliott Wave outlook.

Conclusion

GBPUSD is currently navigating a corrective wave (gray wave 2), implying temporary consolidation within a longer-term bullish sequence. Traders should closely observe the development of this wave for signs of completion, ahead of a potential move into gray wave 3.

Chart

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical overview [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Gains remain capped below 1.1800

EUR/USD consolidates its upside below 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Monday. The pair trades listlessly amid a tepid market mood, despite a broadly subdued US Dollar. Mid-tier US Pending Home Sales are next in focus. 

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3500 amid cautious markets

GBP/USD is oscillating around 1.3500 in the European session on Monday, supported by broad US Dollar softness. But the upside appears limited due to thin market conditions heading into the New Year holiday break. 

Gold corrects from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 in European trading on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. If the US Dollar finds renewed demand, it could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.