|

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Orange Wave A.

  • Position: Navy Blue Wave 2.

  • Direction next higher degrees: Orange Wave B.

Details: The ongoing Elliott Wave analysis for GBPUSD on the daily chart indicates a counter-trend structure featuring an impulsive wave (orange wave A) currently active within navy blue wave 2. This configuration suggests that orange wave A operates as a corrective phase within the broader downtrend and is nearing completion. When orange wave A finalizes, orange wave B is expected to initiate, leading to a temporary corrective phase or consolidation, diverging from the prevailing downtrend.

Positioning of navy blue wave 2: Navy blue wave 2 remains active, though it is nearing its endpoint, paving the way for the transition to orange wave B. In Elliott Wave theory, such a shift often implies a short-term reversal or a pause in the prevailing trend, providing traders insight into a likely corrective move.

Wave cancellation level: The invalidation level for this wave structure is defined at 1.34365, a crucial point in the analysis. Should the price break above this level, the current wave setup would be void, indicating a potential trend shift that would call for a reassessment of the Elliott Wave analysis. As long as the price remains below this threshold, the projected progression toward orange wave B is likely, reinforcing the counter-trend scenario.

Summary

The GBPUSD daily chart depicts a counter-trend scenario in which orange wave A is close to completion and is expected to transition into orange wave B. This anticipated shift may lead to a corrective phase within the broader wave framework, with 1.34365 identified as the critical level for confirming this wave structure. The next phase is likely to moderate the downtrend temporarily as the progression from wave A to wave B unfolds.

GBPUSD

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend

  • Mode: Impulsive

  • Structure: Orange Wave A

  • Position: Navy Blue Wave 2

  • Direction next higher degrees: Orange Wave B

Details: The four-hour Elliott Wave analysis for GBPUSD highlights a counter-trend movement within an impulsive structure, specifically orange wave A. Currently positioned in navy blue wave 2, GBPUSD forms part of the larger orange wave A structure, indicating a temporary corrective phase against the prevailing trend. The analysis suggests that orange wave A is nearing completion, potentially setting up a transition to orange wave B, which could introduce a reversal or a temporary corrective phase.

Impulsive and corrective waves: In Elliott Wave analysis, impulsive waves like wave A typically reflect significant directional movement, while corrective waves, such as wave B, suggest pullbacks or retracements in the opposite direction. The shift from wave A to wave B could signal a change in sentiment or market positioning as traders adjust to the expected end of wave A. If orange wave A concludes as anticipated, it will likely lead to a corrective phase under orange wave B, embodying a counter-trend within the larger wave cycle.

Wave cancellation level: The cancellation level for this wave structure is set at 1.34365, a critical threshold. Breaching this level would invalidate the current wave count, necessitating a reassessment of the trend outlook. Provided GBPUSD remains above this level, the current Elliott Wave structure remains intact.

Summary

On the GBPUSD 4-hour chart, the analysis reflects an impulsive counter-trend movement under orange wave A, potentially transitioning to orange wave B. The short-term outlook depends on the completion of wave A, with 1.34365 as a key support level to confirm the structure’s validity. The current wave pattern suggests a likely corrective reversal as wave B enters.

GBPUSD

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK PMI data

Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3300 in the American session on Friday, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales and July PMI data. Nevertheless, the pair's upside remains capped as investors cling to a cautious stance amid a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US July PMI data failed to trigger relevant price action.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1400 after mixed US PMIs

EUR/USD pressures daily lows below the 1.1400 mark in the American session on Friday. Mixed S&P Global PMIs, as manufacturing output contracted while services activity expanded in July, triggered no relevant market reaction. The focus remains in Middle East developments and inflation-related concerns.

Gold holds above $4,050 but momentum still missing

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce and climbs above the $4,050 level on Friday, hitting a fresh daily high amid a modest US Dollar pullback. The fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before confirming that the pullback from an over two-week high, touched on Wednesday, has run its course and positioning for any meaningful upside.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

XRP retreats as ETF interest cools
Ripple (XRP) slides toward the short-term $1.10 support on Friday, as broader crypto market sentiment weighs on crypto assets. The sell-off mainly stems from fears of inflation in the United States (US) amid the ongoing war in the Middle East and rising Oil prices.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.