|

GBP/USD analysis: technically bullish, but beware of Brexit woes

GBP/USD Current price: 1.2546

The GBP/USD pair closed Friday at 1.2550, marginally higher weekly basis and at its highest settlement since early February. The pair fell to 1..2375 last Wednesday, when the UK formally triggered the Brexit through a letter to the EU, further undermined by news that the Scottish Parliament backed FM minister Sturgeon desire to trigger a second independence referendum. The Pound, however, managed to recover the ground lost, despite UK's final Q4 GDP suffered a modest downward revision, down to 1.9% from previous 2.0%, whilst Total Business investment fell by 0.9% in the last three months of 2016. The current account balance however, improved in the same period, printing a deficit of £12 billion against a previously revised one of £25 billion. Technically, the daily chart for the pair shows that the upside is favored as the price settled above the 23.6% retracement of its January's rally and well above a bullish 20 SMA, whilst the RSI indicator resumed its advance within positive territory, now heading north around 60. In the 4 hours chart, technical indicators maintain upward slopes well into positive territory, whilst the 20 SMA has turned flat well below the current level, in line with the longer term perspective.

Support levels: 1.2520 1.2480 1.2445

Resistance levels: 1.2579 1.2620 1.2660

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks sidelined around 1.1850

EUR/USD remains on the back foot, extending its bearish tone and sliding towards the 1.1850 area to print fresh daily lows on Monday. The move lower comes as the US Dollar gathers modest traction, with thin liquidity and subdued volatility amplifying price swings amid the US market holiday.

GBP/USD flirts with daily lows near 1.3630

GBP/USD has quickly given back Friday’s solid gains, turning lower at the start of the week and drifting back towards the 1.3630 area. The focus now shifts squarely to Tuesday’s UK labour market report, which is likely to keep the quid firmly in the spotlight and could set the tone for Cable’s next move.

Gold loses momentum, eases below $5,000

Gold is giving back part of Friday’s sharp rebound, deflating below the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce as the new week gets underway. Modest gains in the US Dollar are keeping the metal in check, while thin trading conditions, due to the Presidents Day holiday in the US, are adding to the choppy and hesitant tone across markets.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.