|

GBP/USD analysis: no Brexit deal, no Pound strength

GBP/USD Current price: 1.3374

  • DUP menaced to withdraw support to PM May.
  • GBP/USD nearing critical support at 1.3345.

The GBP/USD pair fell to 1.3357 its lowest in a week this Wednesday, on diluting hopes the UK and the EU could reach an agreement on Brexit this week. Despite the UK PM May has  told the House of Commons that "very good progress" has been made on Brexit negotiations, details of cross-border trade are yet to be seen. The DUP has menaced to withdraw its support to the PM, amid their belief that an effective custom would divide the Irish Sea. Furthermore, Brexit  Secretary David Davis said that the UK will not “leave one part of the United Kingdom behind”, clearly referring to Northern Ireland and its desire to remain in the single market post-Brexit, while failing to clarify the government's assessment of Brexit consequences. The pair trades some 20 pips above the mentioned low, maintaining a short-term negative bias according to technical readings in the 4 hours chart, as the Momentum indicator heads south at fresh 1-month low, while the RSI also heads south, around 40. Also, the 20 SMA has accelerated lower well above the current level, while after breaking lower, recoveries are being contained by sellers aligned around the 50% retracement of the latest bullish run at 1.3385. The immediate support is 1.3345, the 61.8% retracement of the same rally, with a break below it opening doors for an extension toward 1.3250/60 during the upcoming sessions.

Support levels: 1.3345 1.3300 1.3260

Resistance levels: 1.3385 1.3430 1.3465

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.