|

GBP/USD analysis: no Brexit deal, no Pound strength

GBP/USD Current price: 1.3374

  • DUP menaced to withdraw support to PM May.
  • GBP/USD nearing critical support at 1.3345.

The GBP/USD pair fell to 1.3357 its lowest in a week this Wednesday, on diluting hopes the UK and the EU could reach an agreement on Brexit this week. Despite the UK PM May has  told the House of Commons that "very good progress" has been made on Brexit negotiations, details of cross-border trade are yet to be seen. The DUP has menaced to withdraw its support to the PM, amid their belief that an effective custom would divide the Irish Sea. Furthermore, Brexit  Secretary David Davis said that the UK will not “leave one part of the United Kingdom behind”, clearly referring to Northern Ireland and its desire to remain in the single market post-Brexit, while failing to clarify the government's assessment of Brexit consequences. The pair trades some 20 pips above the mentioned low, maintaining a short-term negative bias according to technical readings in the 4 hours chart, as the Momentum indicator heads south at fresh 1-month low, while the RSI also heads south, around 40. Also, the 20 SMA has accelerated lower well above the current level, while after breaking lower, recoveries are being contained by sellers aligned around the 50% retracement of the latest bullish run at 1.3385. The immediate support is 1.3345, the 61.8% retracement of the same rally, with a break below it opening doors for an extension toward 1.3250/60 during the upcoming sessions.

Support levels: 1.3345 1.3300 1.3260

Resistance levels: 1.3385 1.3430 1.3465

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds gains above 1.3150, US PCE inflation data looms

The GBP/USD pair recovers some lost ground to near 1.3175 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. However, the potential upside for the major pair might be limited amid UK political instability and rising expectations of US interest rate hikes this year. Traders await the US May Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation data on Thursday for fresh impetus. 

EUR/USD rebounds above 1.1350, but outlook stays bearish below key resistance

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.1370. A surprisingly hawkish message from Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve chair last week has traders pricing a US hike as soon as September. Markets might turn cautious later in the day ahead of the key US Personal Consumption Expenditures report.

Gold: Impending Death Cross hints at more downside

Gold is heading back toward seven-month lows near $3,950 early Thursday. The US Dollar enters bullish consolidation amid Fed rate hike bets, conflicting US-Iran messages. Gold could see further declines as RSI flirts with oversold territory, eyes on impending Death Cross.

Bitcoin tests $60,000 as whales sell off – Aave and Jupiter show resilience

The broader cryptocurrency market remains under intense selling pressure, with Bitcoin back at $60,000 for the third time this year. On-chain data shows selling pressure from large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, while total liquidations hit nearly $1 billion in 24 hours.

5.90% to 5.45%: Why the Pound ignored the bond market’s relief rally
Keir Starmer resigned on Monday, and the Pound barely moved. That near-silence is the tell. Sterling's real driver these past four months has not been the prime minister, nor the left-leaning frontrunner lining up to replace him, but the long end of the gilt curve, which answers to a force no British politician controls.
Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.