|

GBP/USD analysis: lot of water under the bridge

GBP/USD Current price: 1.2795

  • The UK government has three days to present a plan B in the case May's deal gets rejected by the Parliament next week.
  • GBP/USD up for the day but Brexit jitters prevent it from recovering beyond 1.2800.

Brexit-related headlines kept coming throughout the day, with things looking tough for PM May. The parliament voted that, if May's plan gets defeated, the government will have three days to present an alternative plan, in a clear attempt to rush into a solution before a hard-Brexit becomes real on March 29th. A government spokesman said the government always planned to provide certainty quickly if the Brexit deal is voted down next week, but is hard to see "fresh certainties" available. Furthermore,  PM May said that the Parliament will have a vote on implementing the backstop, but that is on EU's hands, no May's one. The situation is chaotic in the UK and the GBP/USD pair holds above 1.2700 only because of broad dollar's weakness. At this point, however, seems Parliament rejection of May's deal has been already priced in.

The pair traded as high as 1.2803, finding it hard to extend its gains beyond the 1.28 mark amid Brexit woes. The short-term picture, however, offers a positive technical stance, as in the 4 hours chart, the pair is holding above its moving averages, while the 20 SMA firms up above the 200 EMA, this last acting as dynamic support at around 1.2720. The Momentum indicator is heading nowhere right above its mid-line quite neutral, while the RSI advances around 64, favoring further gains on a break above 1.2815, December 31st high and the immediate resistance.

Support levels: 1.2755 1.2720 1.2680

Resistance levels: 1.2815 1.2850 1.2895

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.