|

GBP/USD analysis: heavy, but further declines not yet confirmed

GBP/USD Current price: 1.3320

  • Disappointment over Brexit negotiations' progress undermines Pound.
  • BOE's Governor Carney to speak about the Financial Stability Report before a special committee.

The GBP-USD pair closed in the red for a second consecutive week, with the Pound undermined by Brexit uncertainty. The EU leaders agreed to move to the next phase of Brexit talks at a summit in Brussels on Friday, although talks are expected to begin next March. The statement issued by EU negotiators indicated that they can now discuss transitional arrangements and future relationships, although trade was not mentioned. Furthermore, the EU Council expects the UK to adopt the new EU laws that could surge during the transition period, something that will now require the approval of the UK Parliament to come into effect. PM May will have to battle on two fronts to take the UK out of the EU. The most relevant event this week in the UK, beyond Brexit, will be BOE's Governor Carney, due to speak about the latest Financial Stability Report before a select committee. The daily chart for the pair shows that technical indicators have turned sharply lower, entering bearish territory, but also that the price holds far above its 100 and 200 SMAs, with the shortest now around 1.3230. Shorter term, and according to the 4 hours chart, the risk has lean towards the downside, as technical indicators entered negative territory, although with the downward momentum easing, while the decline accelerated on a break below the 100 SMA, and neared the 200 SMA, now a relevant support at 1.3285.

Support levels: 1.3310 1.3285 1.3230

Resistance levels: 1.3360 1.3400 1.3445

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

Japanese Yen weakens to two-year lows, targets 162.00

USD/JPY extends its advance well north of the 161.00 barrier on Thursday, always on the back of the continuation of the US Dollar's post-Fed rebound and despite warnings from the BoJ of a potential intervention at any time. Next on the upside for spot comes the July 2024 peak in levels just shy of 162.00 the figure.

AUD/USD trims gains, challenges 0.7000

AUD/USD now alternates gains with losses just above the key 0.7000 level ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The pair clinches its third consecutive daily retracement, always on the back of the persistent move higher in the Greenback, particularly following the Fed’s hawkish hold on Wednesday.

Gold drops to daily lows near $4,200

Gold struggles to attract buyers on Thursday, trading closer to the $4,200 mark per troy ounce. The yellow metal adds to Wednesday’s pullback and slips back to multi-day lows in response to the stronger US Dollar following the Fed’s hawkish hold on Wednesday.

XRP vulnerable below key EMA resistance levels
Ripple (XRP) ticks down below $1.20 with short-term support at $1.16 intact at the time of writing on Thursday. An early-week rally was rejected at $1.28, weighing on sentiment as traders broadly de-risked.
Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.

The next big AI trade may not be about chips or software

Artificial intelligence has already created some of the biggest winners in modern market history. Chipmakers have surged, data centre construction is booming, and electricity demand forecasts are changing globally.