• China’s retaliatory tariffs prompted some aggressive USD selling on Friday.
  • Brexit-related uncertainties kept a lid on any strong follow-through up-move.
  • Traders now eye US durable goods orders data for some meaningful impetus.

The GBP/USD pair quickly reversed an intraday dip to sub-1.2200 level and regained some positive traction to hit near four-week highs on Friday. China's retaliatory tariffs on USD 75B US imports, coupled with the US President Donald Trump's latest attack on the Fed Chair Jerome Powell prompted some aggressive USD selling. A broad-based USD selloff overshadowed fears of a no-deal Brexit and turned out to be one of the key factors that helped the pair to add to the previous session's strong up-move of over 150-pips.

USD knocked down on escalating US-China trade tensions

It is worth mentioning that an abrupt intensification of the trade war between the world's two largest economies knocked investors' confidence in the global economy and triggered a fresh wave of global risk-aversion trade. This was further seen giving the Fed enough reason to ease the monetary policy further and led a freefall in the US Treasury bond yields, which eventually affected the greenback negatively. Trump's later on Friday announced to raise existing tariffs on $250 billion worth of Chinese goods to 30% from 25% as of October and added that the new round of tariffs on $300 billion in goods will be taxed at 15%, up from the current 10%.
 
Meanwhile, news that the UK PM Boris Johnson had sought legal advice from the attorney general Geoffrey Cox about the possibility of shutting down the parliament for five weeks from September, in order to prevent MPs forcing a further extension to Brexit, kept a lid on any strong follow-through at the start of a new trading week. In absence of any major market-moving UK economic releases on Monday, the incoming Brexit-related headlines might continue to influence the broader market sentiment surrounding the British Pound and provide some short-term impetus.
 
Later during the early North-American session, the release of the durable goods orders data from the US, coupled with fresh trade-related developments would further collaborate towards produce some short-term trading opportunities.

Short-term technical outlook

From a technical perspective, the pair has been struggling to sustain/build on its momentum beyond 200-period EMA on the 4-hourly chart, which should now act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders. Above the mentioned hurdle, the pair seems all set to extend its recent recovery move from the vicinity of the key 1.20 psychological mark - or yearly lows set earlier this August - and surpass the 1.2300 handle to test the next major hurdle near the 1.2330 region.
 
On the flip side, any meaningful pullback below mid-1.2200s now seems to find decent support near the 1.2200 handle, which if broken decisively, leading to a subsequent weakness through the 1.2175-70 intermediate support, might turn the pair vulnerable to head back towards the 1.2100 round figure mark. A follow-through selling has the potential to continue dragging the pair further towards challenging the key 1.20 psychological mark in the near-term.

fxsoriginal

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds gains near 1.0650 amid risk reset

EUR/USD holds gains near 1.0650 amid risk reset

EUR/USD is holding onto its recovery mode near 1.0650 in European trading on Friday. A recovery in risk sentiment is helping the pair, as the safe-haven US Dollar pares gains. Earlier today, reports of an Israeli strike inside Iran spooked markets. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD is rebounding toward 1.2450 in early Europe on Friday, having tested 1.2400 after the UK Retail Sales volumes stagnated again in March, The pair recovers in tandem with risk sentiment, as traders take account of the likely Israel's missile strikes on Iran. 

GBP/USD News

Gold price defends gains below $2,400 as geopolitical risks linger

Gold price defends gains below $2,400 as geopolitical risks linger

Gold price is trading below $2,400 in European trading on Friday, holding its retreat from a fresh five-day high of $2,418. Despite the pullback, Gold price remains on track to book the fifth weekly gain in a row, supported by lingering Middle East geopolitical risks.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Geopolitics once again take centre stage, as UK Retail Sales wither

Geopolitics once again take centre stage, as UK Retail Sales wither

Nearly a week to the day when Iran sent drones and missiles into Israel, Israel has retaliated and sent a missile into Iran. The initial reports caused a large uptick in the oil price.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures