The pound is on the slide after Theresa May agreed to leave if her deal was rejected in June. Meanwhile, the US measures aimed at hurting Huawei have done little to dent positive market sentiment.  

  • GBP tumbles, as Theresa May looks set to leave in June
  • China expected to retaliate after US targets Huawei
  • Burberry continues to struggle amid weak Asian demand 

Sterling declines have helped drive the FTSE 100 higher today, as the end of Theresa May’s leadership begins to look increasingly close. Talks between the PM and her colleagues in the 1922 committee have never been easy for May, yet her grip on the leadership appears to be slipping after she agreed to leave the role if she loses her next vote in June. For markets this is ramping up the likeliness of a hard Brexit, as pushes for a more hardline Brexiteer to take over is raising fears that we could see the UK leave the EU without a deal in October. Today’s decision will drive a wedge between those who seek a hardline Brexit and everyone else, for moderates will know that a new conservative leader could lead the country out of the EU irrespective of whether a deal is in place. 

Global markets are on the rise today, as fears over a breakdown in trade talks between the US and China took a back foot. Interestingly today’s gains have come despite the US decision to declare a state of emergency in a move that is seen to take aim at Chinese telecoms giant Huawei. While Chinese authorities are expected to retaliate, we are seeing limited repercussions, with Apple and 3M providing two of the only three losers on the Dow today. 

The Burberry turnaround plan is clearly not going to plan quite yet, as the sales growth and adjusted profits fell amid a slowdown in Asian demand. Hopes over a positive impact from a new range designed by Riccardo Tisci have been tempered for now, with the double digit rise in sales of the range having limited effect given that they only make up 10-15% of the stock on offer. 

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

Analysis feed

Latest Forex Analysis

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD: On the defensive after rejection at key trendline hurdle

EUR/USD's repeated failure to scale a rising trendline hurdle may end up enticing sellers, leading to a drop to 1.12. The trendline connecting May 30 and June 18 lows was breached on July 6. 


GBP/USD recovers to 1.2520 amid political optimism, soft-Brexit concerns

Having witnessed a slump on the previous day, the GBP/USD pair recovers to 1.2520 amid initial Asian morning on Tuesday. PM hopeful Johnson holds October 31 deadline tightly.


USD/JPY holds tight in quiet markets following a propped up stocks on Wall Street

As Japan comes back into the mix, USD/JPY is currently trading at 107.89, in a tight 107.82/96 range in Asia, following a subdued performance in the pair from overnight.


UK employment change preview: stable but no recovery

The employment change for May is expected to be 45,000 in May following Aprils 32,000 gain. The International Labour Organization (ILO) unemployment rate for May is predicted to be stable at 3.8%.

Read more

Gold & Silver: Dollar inched higher, capping bulls progress

The Dollar is out of favour but still holds in there, capping progress in the precious metals, hell-bent on higher grounds. The series of bearish gold pin bars on the daily charts do not bode well for the bulls.

Gold News