EUR/USD, H1

The Dollar has picked up moderately amid a backdrop of geopolitical risk. While pro-democracy protests continued in Hong Kong’s central business district, reports came in that Beijing has expanded the scope of its Hong Kong security law to cover organisations as well as individuals. It will go before the Chinese parliament this week where it’s expected to be ratified into law. The US has threatened counter measures if the law comes into effect, and the EU has signalled it will be giving a “robust” message to China on the issue. The Hang Seng and main Chinese equity indices underperformed, with losses of 0.9% and 0.3% respectively. Other markets in Asia-Pacific mostly fared better, buoyed by reopening economies and positive developments on the vaccine/treatment front with regard to the Covid-19 coronavirus. Japan’s Nikkei closed with a 0.7% gain, though both South Korea’s KOPSI and Australia’s ASX traded flat. The S&P 500 closed on Wall Street yesterday with a 1.2% gain, and futures of the index are up over 0.5%, though off highs.

EURUSD

In the Forex realm, the narrow trade-weighted USDIndex inched up to a high of 99.21, up from yesterday’s 24-day low at 98.90. EURUSD concurrently ebbed to a 1.0951 low, down from yesterday’s six-day high at 1.0997. USDJPY edged out a five-day low at 107.36, which marked the base of a sub 30-pip range. The commodity currencies traded with little direction, consolidating recent gains. AUDUSD settled in the mid 0.6600s, below the 11-week high that was clocked yesterday at 0.6676. USDCAD traded a narrow range in the upper 1.37s, above yesterday’s 10-week low at 1.3755.

USD

Front-month WTI oil prices are softer today after yesterday hitting an 11-week high at $34.81. The IEA said that the pandemic crisis is causing the biggest fall in global energy investment in history. The weekly EIA inventories will be published tomorrow (Thursday) following the Memorial Day holiday on Monday. Gold markets tanked yesterday under the key daily support at $1725, and today are testing $1705 and bringing the psychological $1700 level back into play once again.

 

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

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