Forex

 

  • Another day, another sell-off for the pound. The beleaguered currency just can’t catch a break with Brexit uncertainty continuing to overshadow any positive news, for example, this morning’s stronger wages data. The dollar rose ahead of US retail sales, industrial production and speeches from a couple of Fed officials including Chair Jay Powell.

  • Stocks remain supported – for now – as earnings come in thick and fast. Yesterday Citigroup kicked off bank earnings, reporting a mixed set of results. Today saw JPMorgan beat on both fronts with an EPS of $2.82 vs. $2.50 expected on revenue of $29.57 billion vs. $28.64bn expected. Goldman Sachs’ EPS of $5.81 easily beat $4.89 expected but revenues beat at $9.46 billion vs. 8.8 billion expected.  Crude oil was probing resistance ahead of inventories data later

  • On the data front, it has been a mixed day so far. New Zealand CPI met expectations with a quartet +0.6% print. German ZEW missed at -24.5 when -22.1 was expected. In the UK wages beat but jobless claims missed: Average Weekly Earnings +3.4% in the three months to May vs. 3.1% expected and 3.2% last (revised); Earnings excluding bonuses +3.6% vs. 3.5% expected and 3.4% last, and Claimant Count Change came in at +38K vs. +19K eyed. Here is what is coming up next:

Currencies

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EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.

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GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.

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Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.

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Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

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Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.

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