|

Four reasons for market volatility on S&P 500 & Nasdaq – Forex trading EUR/USD on US CPI and PPI [Video]

In today’s Market Outlook, let’s take a look at Forex Trading on the Gold, XAUUSD, Silver, XAGUSD, EURUSD, the S&P500 and the NASDAQ.

Just a reminder that these videos are intended as educational, we are only observing current market conditions, and these are not to be considered as trading advice.

In the first video of the year, I suggested that we would be in for surprises and volatility, and we got that yesterday.

What lessons did we learn?

Youtube preview

Firstly, we pointed out that the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Russell 2000 were ahead of the NASDAQ and the S&P500.

As expected, the latter 2 caught up, so keep an eye out for discrepancies like this in the future.

So, why did we get such volatility yesterday on all the indices?

Well, bizarrely, the current US Administration is trying to press unfounded, ridiculous charges against Jerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve.

News like this spooks investors and traders, and even algorithmic trading sold off.

Also, bad news causes bond yields to jump, which always causes equities to fall.

When prices hit a key level, investors and traders bought the dip.

A firm statement by Jerome Powell also went a long way to allaying any fears or panic selling.

This V-shaped price action is common for this type of fundamental event.

You will also note that the technicals gave us clues along the way.

Speaking of the US Fed, they and everyone else will be watching American CPI today and PPI tomorrow.

These are key data for inflation, which will guide the next decisions on Interest Rates on 29 January.

This volatility and this week’s news will also affect USD, and we will be watching pairs like EURUSD, where we have clear trend lines.

USDCHF, where USD is the base currency and trending up.

And NZDUSD, where we have a clear downtrend, but mixed technical indicators.

And, we could not leave it here without talking about gold and silver with XAUUSD at record highs…again.

Many analysts believe that gold could hit $5,000 ,but keep an eye on the news.

As we all know, gold is a safe haven during times of global uncertainty and geopolitical events.

That’s all for now.

CFDs and FX are leveraged products, and your capital may be at risk.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

EUR/USD trims losses, back above 1.1500

EUR/USD picks up some pace and bouces off earlier lows, reclaiming the 1.1500 threshold and beyond at the end of the week. The pair’s modest pullback follows a persistent risk-averse market mood and renewed buying interest for the US Dollar.

Gold: The $4,000 mark holds the downside for now

Gold faces renewed selling pressure, falling sharply toweard the $4,000 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar regains momentum. Escalating US-Iran tensions are keeping inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes alive, weighing further on the yellow metal.

Bitcoin eyes 50-day EMA breakout, Ethereum consolidates, XRP steadies

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade near key technical levels on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market pauses following last week's recovery. BTC is approaching the 50-day Exponential Moving Average while ETH continues to consolidate between two major EMAs.

Warsh needs to restore his reputation
We were glad to see our deeply negative reaction to the Warsh press conference was not some personal peculiarity. Just about everybody in the financial press felt the same way. The consensus is building it’s not the Fed in the dog-house but only Warsh. Today the WSJ changed it tune and blasted Warsh—"the honeymoon is already over..”
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.