EURUSD: 1.2218
EurUsd saw a brief spike to 1.2295 on Friday but then slid steadily lower, with the dollar making slow but steady gains, seemingly unworried by the prospect of a US Government shutdown. The pair finished on their lows but well above the week’s low of 1.2165.
1 hour/4 hour indicators: Turning lower Daily Indicators: Up Weekly Indicators: Turning higher
Preferred Strategy: A neutral stance seems wise at the start of the week with the momentum indicators showing little change from Friday. The short term momentum indicators are pointing a little lower, so a retest of 1.2200/1.2170 would not surprise, but with the dailies still looking positive, a return to the trend high should not be discounted either.
NB. The Euro is opening inter-bank trade on Monday at 1.2265. A cautious stance is required.
Buy EurUsd @ 1.2170. SL @ 1.2280, TP @ 1.2135
Resistance | Support | ||
1.2335 | Minor | 1.2218 | Friday low |
1.2322 | 17 Jan high | 1.2165 | 17 Jan low |
1.2295 | Friday low | 1.2140 | 23.6% of 1.1553/1.2295/200 HMA |
1.2275 | H/S Neckline | 1.2120 | Minor |
1.2260 | Minor | 1.2100 | Minor |
Economic data highlights will include:
M: German BuBa Monthly Report, Chicago Fed National Activity Index
T: German/EU ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey, EU Preliminary Consumer Confidence (Jan), Richmond Fed Mfg Index, World Economic Forum- Davos
W: Eurogroup Meeting, EU/US Flash Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMIs, US Existing Home Sales, EIA Crude Oil Stocks Weekly Change
T: EcoFin Meeting, German IFO Business Climate/Expectations, ECB Interest Rate Decision, Monetary Policy Statement, US Jobless Claims, Wholesale Inventories, New Home Sales, Kansas Fed Mfg Activity, World Economic Forum- Davos.
Interested in EURUSD technicals? Check out the key levels
All content on this website, www.fxcharts.com.au (FX Charts PL) is a personal view only and offers absolutely no guarantee as to the correctness or otherwise of that opinion. The content here is of a “general nature” only and does not constitute personal or investment advice. The FX Charts website is not an inducement to trade Foreign Exchange (FX). No liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss or damage that may result, directly or indirectly, from any , comment, opinion, information or omission, whether negligent or otherwise, within the FX Charts Website. The information and any opinion or outlook expressed in this commentary may be based on assumptions or market conditions and may be liable change at any time, without notice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650
EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.
GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data
GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.
Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike
Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium
Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research.
Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda
US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.