EURUSD: 1.1766
Preferred Strategy: The Euro has bounced from its lows and in the short term we could see a squeeze back towards 1.1800 although the 4 hour charts remain heavy and any near term rally would seem to be a sell opportunity for another move to the 1.1735 lows, and then possibly to test 1.1700 and the mid August lows at 1.1660. The dailies look neutral and in the absence of any major data it may be a tight session although there are plenty of CB speakers coming up. Note the larger Head/Shoulders formation that appears to be building: if so, target 1.1235.
Sell EurUsd @ 1.1800. SL @ 1.1855, TP @ 1.1700
| 24 Hour: Prefer to sell rallies | Medium Term: Mildly Bearish | ||
| Resistance | Support | ||
| 1.1879/82 | 12 Oct high/(50% of 1.2092/1.1669) | 1.1750 | Minor |
| 1.1874/70 | 14 Oct high/Neckline resistance | 1.1735 | Session low |
| 1.1840 | Minor | 1.1720 | (76.4% of 1.1668/1.1880) |
| 1.1819 | 16 Oct high | 1.1700 | Minor |
| 1.1799 | Session high | 1.1661 | 17 Aug low |
Economic data highlights will include:
Extraordinary EU Economic Summit, EU Construction Output, US Building Permits, Housing Starts, Beige Book ,EIA Crude Oil Stocks Weekly Change. Speeches; Draghi, Angeloni/Praet/Coeure (ECB) and Kaplan/Dudley (Fed).
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