EURCHF bouncing from the neckline

Today, we do have an interesting occasion on the EURCHF, which is having a very clean, technical, selling setup. We are only missing the proper bearish reaction here. Actually, the thing that we are missing here is a weaker Euro.
OK, let's start from the very beginning: The price is in a down trend and in the last week, broke the lower line of the wedge, which was a trend continuation pattern. What is more, at the end of the wedge, EURCHF created the head and shoulders pattern (grey). We already got a breakout of the neckline (yellow), which is triggering us a sell signal. This week starts with a test of the neckline as a closest resistance. Actually a second test. First one resulted with a bounce, the second one..not so much. Currently, the price is advancing higher and is going deep inside the area that could be considered as a great place to sell. Only the bearish price action on the yellow area will be a legitimate sign to go short.
European session ends with the price below the yellow area but the reversal is not encouraging yet. Daily chart is a doji and this pattern alone is too weak to trigger a sell signal. Traders can think about opening a sell position, once the price will make new weekly lows. That could be a start of a bigger downswing. Negative scenario will be denied once the rice will climb back above the yellow area.
Author

Tomasz Wisniewski
Axiory Global Ltd.
Tomasz was born in Warsaw, Poland on 25th October, 1985.


















