|

EUR/USD well-supported for a change, but can it rise? — Confluence Detector

The EUR/USD begins a new week after closing the previous one on higher ground, not a very common scene. Can it continue its recovery? The 1.1649 level is key.

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that the EUR/USD enjoys a dense cluster of support around 1.1680. This is the convergence of the Bolinger Band 1h-Middle, the Simple Moving Average 50-15m, the SMA 10-1h, the SMA 10-4h, and the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day.

Stronger support awaits at 1.1649. This is the meeting points of the Bolinger Band 1h-Lower, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week, the SMA 100-1h, and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day. 

If this strong line falls, the next support level is only at 1.1564 which is the confluence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week and the Pivot Point one-day Support 2.

Looking up, some resistance awaits at around 1.1735 which is the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month and stronger resistance at around 1.1771 which is the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 2, the Bolinger Band one-day Middle, and the Pivot Point one-week Resistance 1.

All in all, there is more support than resistance, pointing to further upside. 

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD confluence levels June 4 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD surrenders some gains, back to 1.3420

GBP/USD holds on to moderate gains above 1.3400 the figure on Friday. Optimism surrounding the UK government’s leadership transition and expectations of further BoE tightening support the British Pound, while easing tensions in the Middle East and fading Fed rate-hike expectations weigh on the US Dollar.

EUR/USD turns positive, targets 1.1450

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances toward the 1.1440 region on Friday, up modestly for the day. With no major economic data due, lingering uncertainty over the US-Iran conflict keeps investors cautious, limiting the pair's upside.

Gold remains offered, still below $4,100

Gold struggles to extend Thursday’s rebound and navigates below the $4,100 mark per troy ounce on Friday. Uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict limits the precious metal’s upside, which is also under pressure amid rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Week ahead – US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too

US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.