|

EUR/USD under technical pressure

The USD has just ended 5 straight consecutive days of weakness. The DXY, the broad measure of USD relative value, tested and respected daily support stretching back to June last year.

The Euro accounts for approximately 60 % of the weighting in the DXY index, so consequently, the EURUSD did the same but in reverse.

One of the City Trader’s benchmark trading strategies is the ‘Naked Day Trading’ strategy which was inspired by my 20 years of trading in the futures pits in the City of London.   I have seen some great setups over the years, but the EURUSD setup today has got to be up there as one of the most pitch-perfect setups I have seen in a while. We have seen a clear price action rejection at a long-term daily resistance level which could see this pair capitulate value back down to our initial profit target at the next strong support zone seen at 1.0550. We will be taking some money off the table around here and then looking for a further move down to 1.03.  This trade has a huge risk/reward ratio.

The momentum meter chart below, which shows the relative strength of the top G8 currencies, now shows us a shift in value between these two currencies. This is pure technical trade and should not be traded without a clear understanding of the trading rules and risk management procedure.  It is intended for educational purposes only. 

Chart
Chart

Author

Andrew Lockwood

Andrew Lockwood

The City Traders

30 + years veteran trader registered and authorised under Financial Services Authority FSA (disbanded in 2013). Futures and Options trader on the London International Futures and Options exchange (LIFFE).

More from Andrew Lockwood
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.