|

EUR/USD under technical pressure

The USD has just ended 5 straight consecutive days of weakness. The DXY, the broad measure of USD relative value, tested and respected daily support stretching back to June last year.

The Euro accounts for approximately 60 % of the weighting in the DXY index, so consequently, the EURUSD did the same but in reverse.

One of the City Trader’s benchmark trading strategies is the ‘Naked Day Trading’ strategy which was inspired by my 20 years of trading in the futures pits in the City of London.   I have seen some great setups over the years, but the EURUSD setup today has got to be up there as one of the most pitch-perfect setups I have seen in a while. We have seen a clear price action rejection at a long-term daily resistance level which could see this pair capitulate value back down to our initial profit target at the next strong support zone seen at 1.0550. We will be taking some money off the table around here and then looking for a further move down to 1.03.  This trade has a huge risk/reward ratio.

The momentum meter chart below, which shows the relative strength of the top G8 currencies, now shows us a shift in value between these two currencies. This is pure technical trade and should not be traded without a clear understanding of the trading rules and risk management procedure.  It is intended for educational purposes only. 

Chart
Chart

Author

Andrew Lockwood

Andrew Lockwood

The City Traders

30 + years veteran trader registered and authorised under Financial Services Authority FSA (disbanded in 2013). Futures and Options trader on the London International Futures and Options exchange (LIFFE).

More from Andrew Lockwood
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades around 1.1700 after rebounding from 50-day EMA

EUR/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.1700 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a potential for a bearish bias; the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 47 confirms waning momentum.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3500 as US Dollar weakens ahead of ISM Services PMI

GBP/USD gains some ground after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.3510 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair edges higher as the US Dollar struggles ahead of the US ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index and JOLTs job openings due later in the day.

Gold pulls back from $4,500 amid profit-taking ahead of key US macro data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its strong weekly gains registered over the past two days and faces rejection near the $4,500 psychological mark, or over a one-week high touched during the Asian session on Wednesday. As investors digest the recent US attack on Venezuela, the prevalent risk-on environment prompts some profit-taking around the commodity. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple cool off as rally stalls near key resistance zones

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices are taking a breather on Wednesday near their key resistance levels following the recent surge. BTC faces rejection at the $94,253 level, while ETH and XRP follow BTC’s footsteps, struggling near $3,308 and $2.35, respectively.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE eyes bullish breakout as on-chain and derivatives data turns supportive

Aave (AAVE) price hovers around $172 on Wednesday, nearing the upper trendline of the falling parallel channel pattern. A break above this technical pattern favors the bulls.