|

EUR/USD: The pair remains heavy above 1.0500 as no big bets on the table on US Thanksgiving day

The single European currency is trading just above the 1.05 level, having lost part of yesterday's gains, as has been mentioned in previous articles, any attempt by the European currency to maintain a strong upward momentum and change the trend currently has many obstacles.

On the other hand, signs of fatigue from the recent rally in the US currency remain on the table and a new catalyst may be needed for the exchange rate to test the recent lows of 1.0330 level again.

Yesterday's very rich agenda did not provide any significant surprises, giving the European currency the opportunity to maintain a mild positive  momentum, testing the level of 1,06 but without success.

The further decline in US Treasury yields once again supported the European currency's attempt to react as the 10-y bond yield fell well below the 4.3 level, approaching 4.2.

This development currently confirms my thoughts as expressed in previous articles, maintaining the assessment that there will be a further de-escalation in the level of yields, with the level of 4.00 on 10-y bonds being a possible scenario for the near future.

The broader market picture remains the same. Geopolitical risks, which remain extremely high, despite the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah. Concerns about the course of the European economy,  complement the negative environment, weighing on the European currency and put some barriers to further reaction efforts.

Today's agenda is much poorer as American markets are closed for the Thanksgiving holiday, while the only thing that stands out from the Old Continent is consumer inflation in the German economy, which despite its problems remains the engine of the eurozone.

No changes in my thoughts, I will maintain the idea of ​​buying the European currency on new dips near to recent lows , as the US currency's gains in recent weeks have been quite significant and signs of fatigue from the recent rally as it turned out yesterday as well are already on the table.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.