|

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Bulls pause but retain control

EUR/USD Current price: 1.1540

  • US President Trump criticized Fed Chairman Powell hurting investors’ confidence.
  • Wall Street is under strong selling pressure, stocks fall alongside the US Dollar.
  • EUR/USD consolidates fresh gains, paused ahead of higher highs.

The EUR/USD pair surged past the 1.1500 mark on Monday, reaching levels that were last seen in November 2021 amid a continued US Dollar (USD) sell-off. The Greenback plummeted following an extended weekend, with thinned market conditions exacerbating the slide. Most Asian and European markets remained closed on Easter Monday.

Speculative interest keeps pricing in the United States (US) President Donald Trump's decisions’ effects on the US economy. Trump shifted the main focus from tariffs to the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. On a Truth Social post, the President criticised the head of the central bank’s decision to maintain rates on hold and called for lower rates, adding that Powell’s “termination cannot come fast enough.” Trump’s comments further dented investors’ confidence.

US markets opened as usual, although Canadian ones will remain closed on holiday, which means activity won’t return to normal until the upcoming Asian session. In the meantime, the macroeconomic calendar has nothing relevant to offer.

Wall Street is also reflecting concerns, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down over 300 points in pre-opening trading.

EUR/USD short-term technical outlook

The EUR/USD pair hovers around 1.1540 after peaking at 1.1573, retaining its bullish tone despite being overbought. In the daily chart, technical indicators keep heading firmly north within extreme levels, with no signs of upward exhaustion, supporting the case of additional advances. At the same time, the pair stands far above all its moving averages, with a bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) currently at around 1.1060.

The near-term picture shows buyers paused, but retain control. In the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD remains far above bullish moving averages, which reflect the dominant trend. Technical indicators, in the meantime, have partially lost their bullish strength, but remain near their recent peaks, far from suggesting an upcoming slide. Corrections will likely attract buyers, with the 1.1500 mark now offering immediate support.

Support levels: 1.1500 1.1470 1.1425

Resistance levels: 1.1575 1.1610 1.1650

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.