|

EUR/USD: President Trump enigmatic behavior continues to put the Dollar under doubts

The US currency is trying to balance itself in the early hours of Tuesday after the new pressures it received at the start of the week as President Trump's enigmatic and, for many, questionable policies have raised significant concerns about the broader credibility of US economic policy.

The exchange rate has fallen to levels of 1,15, but has not moved far from yesterday's highs of 1,1575.

The single European currency, without being able to justify this strong momentum on its own, has taken full advantage of the doubt surrounding President Trump's policies and the great concern over the impending trade war and is in the spotlight for the 4th consecutive week.

President Trump's antics don't end with the Federal Reserve Chairman becoming the latest target.

Unfortunately, with such behaviors, the attempt to analyze the markets becomes an extremely difficult task, as from day to day any surprise is very likely, the data is constantly changing, and unfortunately, as it turns out, there are no limits to the controversial policy pursued by US President.

Too much negative data has passed through the market regarding the US dollar, such as the trade war, the possible questioning of the United States debt and the ongoing controversial decisions of President Trump. All of this together has created an explosive cocktail that has put the US currency in a corner.

But let's not forget that the exchange rate concerns two currencies and although the American dollar has many reasons to be in doubt at the moment, on the other hand, the European currency does not have the corresponding reasons to shine so brightly.

Today's agenda is relatively poor, with consumer confidence in the eurozone being the only thing that stands out, with the result that interest remains focused on President Trump and international stock market indices.

The latest developments and President Trump's all-out policy have shaken my confidence in US currency, and for this reason I prefer to remain on the sidelines, although I would consider it quite reasonable for there to be some balance and some correction in the exchange rate very soon.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data

GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements. 

Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.