|

EUR/USD path to the downside is easy after Draghi's drag – Confluence Detector

EUR/USD was hit hard by the dovish shift in the ECB's decision to push back on rate hikes and provide new funding for banks. President Mario Draghi's dovish press conference did not help and the pair the lowest since June 2017. What's next?

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that EUR/USD faces initial resistance at 1.1215 which was the 2018 low, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, and the Bollinger Band 1h-Middle. 

The next cap is quite close. At 1.1231 a dense cluster of lines awaits the pair: the Pivot Point one-month Support 3, the previous month's low, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, and the Simple Moving Average 100-15m. 

The pair is struggling at the round number of 1.1200 which is the convergence of the SMA 5-15m, the previous 4h-high, the BB 15min-Middle, and the BB 4h-Lower.

Support is at 1.1176 which is the fresh 2019 low. If euro/dollar extends its falls, the downside target is 1.1134 where we see the confluence of the PP one-day Support 1 and the Bollinger Band 1h-Lower.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EURUSD technical analysis confluence March 7 2019

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY stays below 160.50 as markets assess BoJ decision

USD/JPY fluctuates in a relatively narrow range above 160.00 on Tuesday as markets assess the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to raise the policy rate by 25 at the June meeting. Meanwhile, investors keep a close eye on news coming out of the Middle East, while preparing for the critical Fed meeting.

AUD/USD trades in tight channel near 0.7050 despite hawkish RBA message

AUD/USD trades modestly lower on the day at around 0.7050 on Tuesday as markets adopt a cautious stance amid a lack of details surrounding the US-Iran peace agreement. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left the door open for possible policy tightening after leaving the interest rate unchanged, as expected, at the June meeting but failed to boost the Australian Dollar.

Gold trims gains, approaches $4,300

Gold now surrenders part of its initial advance and recedes to the vicinity of the $4,350 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The early enthusiasm sparked by the US-Iran peace deal has faded somewhat, prompting investors to adopt a more prudent stance as they await further details of the agreement and key guidance from the Fed.

Why a hawkish RBA is no longer enough to lift the Australian Dollar

The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered more than what markets expected: a hawkish hold that should have supported the Aussie. But markets widely ignored it.

BoJ just hiked and US-Iran deal is on the table: Why Japanese Yen is still around 160.00

The Bank of Japan lifted interest rates from 0.75% to 1.00%, its highest level in more than three decades. The landmark move aims to stabilize a sharply weakening Japanese Yen, but by looking at the immediate market reaction, it doesn’t look like it’s going to work.

Why a hawkish RBA is no longer enough to lift the Australian Dollar

The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered more than what markets expected: a hawkish hold that should have supported the Aussie. But markets widely ignored it, focusing instead on slowing economic growth and proving that central bank messaging alone isn’t always enough to drive currencies.