|

EUR/USD outlook: Tests strong support zone after a sharp drop

EUR/USD

EURUSD lost ground on Monday after a gap-higher opening and short-lived gains, losing nearly 0.7% in late-Asian / early European trading.

Positive impact from US-EU trade deal was so far very limited, probably that markets have already positively reacted on anticipation that agreement will be reached before the deadline and after digesting the news about the whole package, signed in Scotland, which may not be in favor of the EU bloc.

Technical picture on daily chart weakened as 14-d momentum crossed in the negative territory, after bears cracked initial support at 1.1672 (daily Tenkan-sen) and eye more significant supports at 1.1650/30 zone (Fibo 23.6% of 1.1065/1.1830 uptrend / daily Kijun-sen / trendline support.

Violation of these levels would further weaken near-term structure and unmask key supports at 1.1556/37 (July 17 higher low / Fibo 38.2%), loss of which to complete bearish failure swing pattern and generate reversal signal.

Conversely, ability to hold above the trendline (ideally) would generate initial signal about a healthy correction before larger bulls return to play.

Res: 1.1703; 1.1770; 1.1789; 1.1830.
Sup: 1.1650; 1.1630; 1.1589; 1.1556.

Chart

Interested in EUR/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 1.1829
    2. R2 1.1796
    3. R1 1.1769
  1. PP 1.1736
    1. S1 1.1709
    2. S2 1.1676
    3. S3 1.1649

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 ahead of US data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold pulls away from session high, holds above $4,300

Gold loses its bullish momentum and retreats below $4,350 after testing this level earlier on Monday. XAU/USD, however, stays in positive territory as the US Dollar remains on the back foot on growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy outlook next year.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.