|

EUR/USD jumps to test critical resistance [Video]

  • EURUSD has its best week of the year.

  • Downside risks remain around 1.0880.

  • EZ flash business PMIs show a mixed picture.

EURUSD is in the seventh day of gains, marking its longest bull run in a while to reach the critical 1.0880 bar. Disappointingly, Eurozone's flash business PMI figures for February could not lift the pair above that threshold earlier today as the manufacturing sector continued to shrink, but the technical indicators are still in the bullish area.

The RSI has clearly jumped back above its 50 neutral mark, and the MACD keeps progressing above its red signal line, painting a rosy picture for the short-term. The positive slope in the stochastic oscillator is endorsing that scenario too, though with the indicator entering the overbought zone, room for improvement could be limited.

If the pair successfully claims the 1.0880 threshold, it is expected to rise rapidly towards the 1.0980 level and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the October-December 2023 uptrend. The 1.1000 psychological mark, which coincides with the resistance trendline from May 2021, will be closely watched as well before the spotlight turns again to the 1.1100-1.1138 peak area from December.

On the downside, the 50% Fibonacci of 1.0790 and the 20-day SMA could calm selling pressures ahead of the ascending trendline from October at 1.0760. Failure to rebound there could see a correction towards the 61.8% Fibonacci of 1.0711, while a steeper decline may pause somewhere between 1.0665 and 1.0635. Next, the bears might attempt to sink the price below the broken bearish channel at 1.0600.

In brief, EURUSD is enjoying its best weekly session so far this year, though an extension above the 1.0880 barricade is still required to break up the 2024 negative trend and therefore brighten the short-term outlook. 

EURUSD

Author

Christina Parthenidou

Christina joined the XM investment research department in May 2017. She holds a master degree in Economics and Business from the Erasmus University Rotterdam with a specialization in International economics.

More from Christina Parthenidou
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers recovery momentum, trades near 1.1750

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and trades in positive territory near 1.1750. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers and supports the pair as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD rises toward 1.3450 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD turns north on Monday and avances to the 1.3450 region. The US Dollar (USD) stays on the back foot to begin the new week as investors adjust their positions before tomorrow's third-quarter growth data, helping the pair stretch higher.

Gold not done with record highs

Gold extends its rally in the American session on Monday and trades at a new all-time-high above $4,420, gaining nearly 2% on a daily basis. The potential for a re-escalation of the tensions in the Middle East on news of Israel planning to attack Iran allows Gold to capitalize on safe-haven flows.

Top 10 crypto predictions for 2026: Institutional demand and big banks could lift Bitcoin

Bitcoin could hit record highs in 2026, according to Grayscale and top crypto asset managers. Institutional demand and digital-asset treasury companies set to catalyze gains in Bitcoin.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.