|

EUR/USD forex Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Euro/U.S. Dollar (EURUSD) day chart

EURUSD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis

FUNCTION: Trend
MODE: Impulsive
STRUCTURE: Orange Wave 3
POSITION: Navy Blue Wave 3
DIRECTION NEXT LOWER DEGREES: Orange Wave 4
DETAILS: Orange Wave 2 appears completed, with Orange Wave 3 now unfolding.
Wave Cancel Invalid Level: 1.09482

The EURUSD daily chart has been analyzed using the Elliott Wave theory, revealing that the market is currently in a robust upward trend. The primary pattern identified in this analysis is the Orange Wave 3, an impulsive wave indicating a significant and sustained upward movement. This wave is part of a larger structure, positioned within Navy Blue Wave 3, which further underscores the strong bullish momentum in the market.

Prior to the initiation of Orange Wave 3, Orange Wave 2 was in play, typically serving as a corrective wave within the Elliott Wave structure. Wave 2 usually represents a retracement or temporary price decline following the initial rise of Wave 1. The completion of Orange Wave 2 indicates that the market has resumed its upward movement, leading to the development of Orange Wave 3.

With Orange Wave 2 now complete, Orange Wave 3 is currently unfolding and is anticipated to continue driving the market higher. The analysis also suggests that after Orange Wave 3 concludes, the market will likely enter Orange Wave 4, representing the next corrective phase.

A crucial element of this analysis is the wave cancel invalid level, set at 1.09482. This level is critical; a break below it would invalidate the current Elliott Wave count, possibly indicating a change in market direction or necessitating a reevaluation of the wave structure.

In summary, the EURUSD daily chart indicates a strong impulsive upward trend, with Orange Wave 3 currently in progress following the completion of Orange Wave 2. The market is expected to maintain its upward trajectory, with the wave cancel invalid level at 1.09482 serving as a key point to monitor for any potential changes in the Elliott Wave analysis.

Forex24(1).thumb.png.4f363ad6b967453648da181f9201fba0.png

Euro/U.S. Dollar (EURUSD) 4 Hour Chart

EURUSD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis

FUNCTION: Trend
MODE: Impulsive
STRUCTURE: Gray Wave 3
POSITION: Orange Wave 3
DIRECTION NEXT LOWER DEGREES: Gray Wave 4
DETAILS: Gray Wave 2 appears completed, with Gray Wave 3 now unfolding.
Wave Cancel Invalid Level: 1.09482

The EURUSD 4-hour chart has been analyzed using Elliott Wave theory, indicating that the market is currently experiencing a strong upward trend. The primary wave structure identified is Gray Wave 3, which is impulsive in nature, signifying a robust and sustained movement in the upward direction. This Gray Wave 3 is part of a larger structure, specifically within Orange Wave 3, further reinforcing the significant bullish momentum in the market.

Prior to the current phase of Gray Wave 3, the analysis suggests that Gray Wave 2 has completed its corrective movement. In Elliott Wave theory, Wave 2 typically represents a retracement or pullback following the initial advance of Wave 1. The completion of this corrective phase suggests that the market has resumed its upward trajectory with the initiation of Gray Wave 3, which is usually associated with strong, decisive price movements.

With Gray Wave 2 now complete, Gray Wave 3 has begun to unfold, signaling the continuation of the market's upward trend. This wave is expected to continue driving the market higher as it progresses. The analysis also anticipates the direction of the next lower degrees, indicating that after Gray Wave 3 concludes, the market will likely transition into Gray Wave 4, representing the next corrective phase.

A critical component of this analysis is the wave cancellation invalid level, set at 1.09482. This level is a key point; a breach below it would invalidate the current Elliott Wave count, potentially signaling a change in market direction or necessitating a reassessment of the wave structure.

In summary, the EURUSD 4-hour chart is in an impulsive upward trend, with Gray Wave 3 currently unfolding following the completion of Gray Wave 2. The market is expected to maintain its upward momentum, with the invalidation level at 1.09482 being a crucial point to monitor for any potential changes in the wave analysis.

Forex24.thumb.png.f92cf75e1a5a1c18e52b5cc95125d0ff.png

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.