|

EUR/USD forex Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Euro/U.S. Dollar (EURUSD) day chart

EURUSD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis

FUNCTION: Trend
MODE: Impulsive
STRUCTURE: Orange Wave 3
POSITION: Navy Blue Wave 3
DIRECTION NEXT LOWER DEGREES: Orange Wave 4
DETAILS: Orange Wave 2 appears completed, with Orange Wave 3 now unfolding.
Wave Cancel Invalid Level: 1.09482

The EURUSD daily chart has been analyzed using the Elliott Wave theory, revealing that the market is currently in a robust upward trend. The primary pattern identified in this analysis is the Orange Wave 3, an impulsive wave indicating a significant and sustained upward movement. This wave is part of a larger structure, positioned within Navy Blue Wave 3, which further underscores the strong bullish momentum in the market.

Prior to the initiation of Orange Wave 3, Orange Wave 2 was in play, typically serving as a corrective wave within the Elliott Wave structure. Wave 2 usually represents a retracement or temporary price decline following the initial rise of Wave 1. The completion of Orange Wave 2 indicates that the market has resumed its upward movement, leading to the development of Orange Wave 3.

With Orange Wave 2 now complete, Orange Wave 3 is currently unfolding and is anticipated to continue driving the market higher. The analysis also suggests that after Orange Wave 3 concludes, the market will likely enter Orange Wave 4, representing the next corrective phase.

A crucial element of this analysis is the wave cancel invalid level, set at 1.09482. This level is critical; a break below it would invalidate the current Elliott Wave count, possibly indicating a change in market direction or necessitating a reevaluation of the wave structure.

In summary, the EURUSD daily chart indicates a strong impulsive upward trend, with Orange Wave 3 currently in progress following the completion of Orange Wave 2. The market is expected to maintain its upward trajectory, with the wave cancel invalid level at 1.09482 serving as a key point to monitor for any potential changes in the Elliott Wave analysis.

Forex24(1).thumb.png.4f363ad6b967453648da181f9201fba0.png

Euro/U.S. Dollar (EURUSD) 4 Hour Chart

EURUSD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis

FUNCTION: Trend
MODE: Impulsive
STRUCTURE: Gray Wave 3
POSITION: Orange Wave 3
DIRECTION NEXT LOWER DEGREES: Gray Wave 4
DETAILS: Gray Wave 2 appears completed, with Gray Wave 3 now unfolding.
Wave Cancel Invalid Level: 1.09482

The EURUSD 4-hour chart has been analyzed using Elliott Wave theory, indicating that the market is currently experiencing a strong upward trend. The primary wave structure identified is Gray Wave 3, which is impulsive in nature, signifying a robust and sustained movement in the upward direction. This Gray Wave 3 is part of a larger structure, specifically within Orange Wave 3, further reinforcing the significant bullish momentum in the market.

Prior to the current phase of Gray Wave 3, the analysis suggests that Gray Wave 2 has completed its corrective movement. In Elliott Wave theory, Wave 2 typically represents a retracement or pullback following the initial advance of Wave 1. The completion of this corrective phase suggests that the market has resumed its upward trajectory with the initiation of Gray Wave 3, which is usually associated with strong, decisive price movements.

With Gray Wave 2 now complete, Gray Wave 3 has begun to unfold, signaling the continuation of the market's upward trend. This wave is expected to continue driving the market higher as it progresses. The analysis also anticipates the direction of the next lower degrees, indicating that after Gray Wave 3 concludes, the market will likely transition into Gray Wave 4, representing the next corrective phase.

A critical component of this analysis is the wave cancellation invalid level, set at 1.09482. This level is a key point; a breach below it would invalidate the current Elliott Wave count, potentially signaling a change in market direction or necessitating a reassessment of the wave structure.

In summary, the EURUSD 4-hour chart is in an impulsive upward trend, with Gray Wave 3 currently unfolding following the completion of Gray Wave 2. The market is expected to maintain its upward momentum, with the invalidation level at 1.09482 being a crucial point to monitor for any potential changes in the wave analysis.

Forex24.thumb.png.f92cf75e1a5a1c18e52b5cc95125d0ff.png

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.