|

EUR/USD Forecast: dollar bulls trying to come back

EUR/USD Current price: 1.1501

  • Market players waiting for fresh US-China headers for next direction.
  • EUR/USD gains could be seen as corrective if daily high remains intact.

The EUR/USD pair recovered the 1.1500 level on the back of Trump's comments late Monday, hitting rival economies and self-officers, no other than Fed's chief Jerome Powell. The EUR/USD pair surged up to 1.1541 in the Asian session, although the negative tone of the greenback begun easing with London opening, with the pair now struggling around the key threshold ahead of Wall Street's opening. There were no macroeconomic news in Europe, and there are no relevant ones scheduled in the US, leaving upcoming direction depending on fresh headlines related to trade relations between the US and China. In the meantime, the USD finally corrected the extreme overbought conditions seen over these last couple of weeks, and while there's room for the corrective movement to continue without affecting the dominant bearish trend, seems that dollar's bulls are ready to return, not testing bears' determination

The daily chart shows that the pair briefly surpassed a bearish 20 SMA, now struggling below it, also that technical indicators have lost their upward momentum right below their midlines, now turning flat, suggesting that as higher the pair goes, the lesser is buying interest. Shorter term, and according to the 4 hours chart, the rally stalled around a bearish 100 SMA, with the pair trying multiple times to overcome it but failing, still holding above a firmly bullish 20 SMA but with technical indicators starting to ease from overbought readings, not enough to indicate an upcoming decline. Below 1.1480, however, chances turn toward the downside short-term with bears trying then to return to the 1.1400 price zone.  

Support levels: 1.1480 1.1445 1.1400    

Resistance levels: 1.1540 1.1585 1.1620

View Live chart for the EUR/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1900 as USD recovers

EUR/USD trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day, below 1.1900 in the European session on Thursday. A modest rebound in the US Dollar is weighing on the pair, despite an upbeat market mood. Traders keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims data for further trading impetus. 

GBP/USD holds above 1.3600 after UK data dump

\GBP/USD moves little while holding above 1.3600 in the European session on Thursday, following the release of the UK Q4 preliminary GDP, which showed a 0.1% growth against a 0.2% increase expected. The UK industrial sector activity deteriorated in Decembert, keeping the downward pressure intact on the Pound Sterling. 

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses as reduced March Fed rate cut bets underpin USD

Gold languishes near the lower end of its daily range heading into the European session on Thursday. The precious metal, however, lacks follow-through selling amid mixed cues and currently trades above the $5,050 level, well within striking distance of a nearly two-week low touched the previous day.

Cardano eyes short-term rebound as derivatives sentiment improves

Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.257 at the time of writing on Thursday, after slipping more than 4% so far this week. Derivatives sentiment improves as ADA’s funding rates turn positive alongside rising long bets among traders.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token

Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility.