|

EUR/USD easy recovery is over, significant resistance ahead – Confluence Detector

The EUR/USD rallied on Trump's comments about low interest rates. Can it continue moving higher? The pair now faces substantial resistance. 

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that the pair will initially need to win over the 1.1655 level. This is the convergence of the Bolinger Band 4h-Middle, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week. 

A move higher will face a congestion of resistance levels at the 1.1683 area where we see the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week, the one-day high, the Simple Moving Average 50-4h, the SMA 200-4h, and the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1. 

Another run higher may send the pair to 1.1724 where we see the confluence of the Fibonacci 61.8% on both the monthly and weekly scopes meet the Bolinger Band 4h-Upper.

Looking down, the pair has some support at 1.1641 which is the Bolinger Band 15m-Lower, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month.

However, a slide may find only minor support levels below this point. A considerable cushion is available only at 1.1514 which is where the Fibonacci 161.8% one-day, the Pivot Point one-month Support 1, the Pivot Point one-week S2 and the 2018 low converge. 

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD confluence technical levels July 20 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests nine-day EMA support near 1.1750

EUR/USD loses ground for the fourth consecutive session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Monday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a weakening bullish bias, as the pair tests to break below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

GBP/USD softens below 1.3500 but retains positive technical outlook

The GBP/USD pair loses momentum near 1.3485 during the early European session on Monday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. The potential downside for a major pair might be limited, as the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path.

Gold pulls back from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 during the early European trading hours on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. A renewed US Dollar could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers, pressuring prices.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.