Vasilis Tsaprounis
Independent Analyst
US Dollar's positive momentum remains on the table as the dust from Donald Trump's triumph appears to have not yet settled.
At the same time, the political developments in Germany strongly affect the European currency, which so far has been unable to find supports to react.
Υields on US government debt securities remain at high levels, which further supports the US currency, but showing some signs of stabilization.
10-year notes, which act as a barometer for yield levels, are trading near 4,30, down slightly from 4,48 level a few days earlier.
I maintain the view that current levels are quite high and we are likely to see further tapering relatively soon which could act as a catalyst for the European currency to find cause for some good correction.
At the moment, however, the US currency seems to maintain positive momentum and it is likely that the level of 1,06 will be challenged relatively soon.
In the shadow of the presidential elections in US and the political developments in germany Fed and Ecb agenda remains for the time being regarding the further reduction in the key interest rates.
On this front there are no significant changes in the bets as some good chance for 25 basis point cut from the Fed in December remains on the table while the landscape is relatively cloudier from the European Central Bank side.
On today's agenda, the survey of ZEW institute on the economic sentiment in the eurozone stands out, while on the other side of the Atlantic there are several statements by Fed officials.
Just yesterday I mentioned my thoughts of buying the European currency near 1,06 levels, but the strong dynamics of the US dollar and possible further political unrest in Germany make me more cautious, preferring to maintain a wait-and-see attitude for now.
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