|

EUR/USD: Buyers to target daily resistance?

Europe’s single currency wrapped up the week on the ropes versus its US counterpart, shedding -0.2% and snapping a five-week bullish phase. Month to date, EUR/USD is up +1.7% and poised to end the month trimming a four-month losing streak.

Monthly/daily flow supports short-term bid

Bolstered by Friday’s rebound from trendline resistance-turned-support on the daily chart, taken from the high of $1.1139, as well as the immediate (daily) uptrend and the monthly timeframe showing no obvious resistance hindering buyers on the daily until reaching $1.0883 resistance (closely shadowed by another layer of daily resistance at $1.0920), buyers could be at the wheel this week. Nevertheless, a caveat to consider, albeit unlikely to influence a push higher this week, is that the monthly timeframe shows a clear long-term downtrend still in play.

H1 support on the radar

Interestingly, the technical position on the H1 timeframe reveals price ended the week testing a trendline resistance-turned-potential-support, etched from the high of $1.0885. Theoretically, given daily flow exhibiting scope to explore higher terrain in a trending market (and limited resistance impeding things on the monthly chart), this descending line may deliver a floor in early trading, with traders targeting daily resistance at $1.0883. Failure to rebound from the H1 line, however, H1 support between $1.0818 and $1.0822 may be tested and offer traders cheaper prices to bid from.

Author

Aaron Hill

Aaron Hill

FP Markets

After completing his Bachelor’s degree in English and Creative Writing in the UK, and subsequently spending a handful of years teaching English as a foreign language teacher around Asia, Aaron was introduced to financial trading,

More from Aaron Hill
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin trades in compression as 2026 begins with structure still unresolved

BTC/USD remains locked in a two-way structure, with micro supply-and-demand levels guiding early-year price behaviour.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).