Europe’s single currency wrapped up the week on the ropes versus its US counterpart, shedding -0.2% and snapping a five-week bullish phase. Month to date, EUR/USD is up +1.7% and poised to end the month trimming a four-month losing streak.
Monthly/daily flow supports short-term bid
Bolstered by Friday’s rebound from trendline resistance-turned-support on the daily chart, taken from the high of $1.1139, as well as the immediate (daily) uptrend and the monthly timeframe showing no obvious resistance hindering buyers on the daily until reaching $1.0883 resistance (closely shadowed by another layer of daily resistance at $1.0920), buyers could be at the wheel this week. Nevertheless, a caveat to consider, albeit unlikely to influence a push higher this week, is that the monthly timeframe shows a clear long-term downtrend still in play.
H1 support on the radar
Interestingly, the technical position on the H1 timeframe reveals price ended the week testing a trendline resistance-turned-potential-support, etched from the high of $1.0885. Theoretically, given daily flow exhibiting scope to explore higher terrain in a trending market (and limited resistance impeding things on the monthly chart), this descending line may deliver a floor in early trading, with traders targeting daily resistance at $1.0883. Failure to rebound from the H1 line, however, H1 support between $1.0818 and $1.0822 may be tested and offer traders cheaper prices to bid from.
This material on this website is intended for illustrative purposes and general information only. It does not constitute financial advice nor does it take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Commission, interest, platform fees, dividends, variation margin and other fees and charges may apply to financial products or services available from FP Markets. The information in this website has been prepared without taking into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs before making any decision about whether to acquire or dispose of any financial product. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are derivatives and can be risky; losses can exceed your initial payment and you must be able to meet all margin calls as soon as they are made. When trading CFDs you do not own or have any rights to the CFDs underlying assets.
FP Markets recommends that you seek independent advice from an appropriately qualified person before deciding to invest in or dispose of a derivative. A Product Disclosure Statement for each of the financial products is available from FP Markets can be obtained either from this website or on request from our offices and should be considered before entering into transactions with us. First Prudential Markets Pty Ltd (ABN 16 112 600 281, AFS Licence No. 286354).
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD: Bears await break below 1.1200 ahead of US-China joint statement
EUR/USD attracts some sellers on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction. A break below 200-period SMA on H4 should pave the way for deeper losses. Any attempted move up is likely to confront a stiff barrier near the 1.1250 region.
GBP/USD trades with negative bias below 1.3300 amid modest USD strength
GBP/USD attracts some sellers as the US-China trade deal eases US recession fears and boosts the USD. The US-UK trade agreement and the BoE’s cautious tone support the GBP and limit losses for the major. Traders now look forward to speeches from BoE officials and FOMC members for some meaningful impetus.
Gold price struggles near one-week low; US-China joint statement awaited
Gold price kicks off the new week on a weaker note in reaction to the optimism over the US-China trade deal. Easing US recession fears and the Fed’s hawkish pause underpin the USD, and further weigh on the commodity. The XAU/USD bears await details on the US-China agreement before positioning for any meaningful downside.
Bitcoin awaits catalyst to push BTC above $109,000, US-UK and China deals fails to trigger rally
The United States unveiled its first major trade deal with the UK last week. The announcement was followed by talks of a highly anticipated deal with China. Both developments failed to catalyze a re-test of the all-time high in Bitcoin.
Why the UK-US trade deal won’t herald a wider tariff climbdown
For Britain, the UK-US deal secures lower tariffs without compromising forthcoming UK-EU talks. And for the US, it signals to investors that the administration is prepared to be flexible on tariffs. But we're sceptical that the deal will translate into a much wider de-escalation in US tariff policy.
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.